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Fact check: How would removing Texas affect US global GDP ranking?

Checked on June 16, 2025

1. Summary of the results

Removing Texas from the US would have a substantial impact on the US GDP and global ranking. As of 2024, Texas contributes $2.709 trillion to the total US GDP of $29.184 trillion, representing approximately 9.3% of the total US economy [1]. Texas currently ranks as the second-largest economy among US states [1] and would rank as the 9th largest economy globally if it were an independent nation [2]. The state's GDP has shown significant growth over time, rising from $1.9 trillion in 2020 [3] to $2.4 trillion in 2022 [4], and reaching $2.709 trillion in 2024 [1].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

Several important contextual factors need to be considered:

  • Texas's economic contribution goes beyond just GDP numbers - it contributes $336 billion in taxes annually and pays $120 billion more into the federal system than it receives back [5]
  • The state's economy is comparable to that of entire developed nations, specifically Italy [6]
  • Texas, along with California and New York, is one of the key states driving US economic growth [7]
  • The state's global economic ranking has improved over time, moving from 12th largest economy to 9th [4]
  • Texas has potential for even stronger economic performance due to its energy resources and trade relationships [3]

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The question itself oversimplifies a complex economic relationship:

  • Some sources show clear bias toward Texas independence, potentially overstating the state's economic self-sufficiency [5]
  • Different sources report varying GDP figures for the same years, suggesting possible discrepancies in measurement or reporting methods:
  • 2022: $2.4 trillion [4] vs $2.56 trillion [6]
  • 2024: $2.709 trillion [1] vs $2.7 trillion with US total GDP of $28 trillion [2]
  • Pro-independence groups would benefit from emphasizing Texas's economic strength and self-sufficiency, while federal authorities might benefit from emphasizing the interdependence of state and national economies
Want to dive deeper?
What percentage of US GDP does Texas contribute annually?
How does Texas economy compare to other countries' GDP globally?
Which US states contribute most to national GDP after Texas?
What would be the economic impact on remaining US states if Texas left?
How do US state economies rank compared to independent nations worldwide?