Keep Factually independent
Whether you agree or disagree with our analysis, these conversations matter for democracy. We don't take money from political groups - even a $5 donation helps us keep it that way.
Fact check: How would removing Texas affect US global GDP ranking?
1. Summary of the results
Removing Texas from the US would have a substantial impact on the US GDP and global ranking. As of 2024, Texas contributes $2.709 trillion to the total US GDP of $29.184 trillion, representing approximately 9.3% of the total US economy [1]. Texas currently ranks as the second-largest economy among US states [1] and would rank as the 9th largest economy globally if it were an independent nation [2]. The state's GDP has shown significant growth over time, rising from $1.9 trillion in 2020 [3] to $2.4 trillion in 2022 [4], and reaching $2.709 trillion in 2024 [1].
2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints
Several important contextual factors need to be considered:
- Texas's economic contribution goes beyond just GDP numbers - it contributes $336 billion in taxes annually and pays $120 billion more into the federal system than it receives back [5]
- The state's economy is comparable to that of entire developed nations, specifically Italy [6]
- Texas, along with California and New York, is one of the key states driving US economic growth [7]
- The state's global economic ranking has improved over time, moving from 12th largest economy to 9th [4]
- Texas has potential for even stronger economic performance due to its energy resources and trade relationships [3]
3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement
The question itself oversimplifies a complex economic relationship:
- Some sources show clear bias toward Texas independence, potentially overstating the state's economic self-sufficiency [5]
- Different sources report varying GDP figures for the same years, suggesting possible discrepancies in measurement or reporting methods:
- 2022: $2.4 trillion [4] vs $2.56 trillion [6]
- 2024: $2.709 trillion [1] vs $2.7 trillion with US total GDP of $28 trillion [2]
- Pro-independence groups would benefit from emphasizing Texas's economic strength and self-sufficiency, while federal authorities might benefit from emphasizing the interdependence of state and national economies