How many Somali-born residents in Minnesota are U.S. citizens as of 2024-2025?
Executive summary
The best available sources put the number of Somali-born Minnesotans who have become U.S. citizens (i.e., naturalized) in the high‑thirty‑thousands: roughly 37,000–40,000 people based on combinations of Census/ACS population estimates and reported naturalization rates (calculations explained below) [1] [2] [3]. Significant uncertainty remains because sources differ on the total Somali population, on whether figures count ancestry versus country of birth, and because the American Community Survey is a sample rather than a full count [3] [4] [5].
1. What exactly is being asked — and why that matters
The question targets Somali‑born residents of Minnesota who are U.S. citizens, which is a narrower group than “people of Somali ancestry” or “all Somali residents”; it excludes U.S.-born Somali Americans and it includes only those born in Somalia who later naturalized, a figure that must be derived from separate measures of foreign‑born counts and naturalization rates [1] [2].
2. The pieces available from reliable reporting
A frequently cited figure for people born in Somalia living in Minnesota comes from demographic summaries showing about 43,000 Somalia‑born residents in the state in 2018 (used as a baseline in many profiles) [1]. More recent reporting and ACS‑based summaries estimate the overall Somali‑ancestry population in Minnesota in 2024 at roughly 107,000–108,000 people, and they also note that about 58% of Minnesota’s Somali population were born in the United States (which implies the foreign‑born share is roughly 42%) [3] [6] [7]. Separate reporting states that an “overwhelming majority” of foreign‑born Somalis in Minnesota — about 87% — are naturalized U.S. citizens [2].
3. How those pieces translate into a numeric answer
Using the older country‑of‑birth baseline (≈43,000 Somalia‑born in 2018) and applying the reported 87% naturalization rate for foreign‑born Somalis yields an estimate of about 37,000 Somalia‑born U.S. citizens in Minnesota (43,000 × 0.87 ≈ 37,410) [1] [2]. Using the 2024‑era ACS total (≈108,000 Somali‑ancestry residents) combined with the reported 58% U.S.‑born share implies roughly 45,000 foreign‑born Somalis (108,000 × 0.42 ≈ 45,360); applying the 87% naturalization rate to that foreign‑born subtotal yields about 39,500 Somali‑born U.S. citizens [3] [2]. Taken together, those two reasonable approaches produce a narrow range — roughly 37,000 to 40,000 naturalized Somali‑born citizens in Minnesota — depending on which population baseline and definitions are used [1] [3] [2].
4. Conflicting figures and why they exist
Different outlets and analysts emphasize different denominators: “Somali ancestry” versus “Somalia‑born,” decennial census counts versus ACS estimates, and state demographer tallies versus third‑party databases [3] [4] [5]. Some sources report total Somali populations in Minnesota as low as ~64,000 and others as high as ~108,000, reflecting methodology, year, and whether children of Somali parents are included under ancestry questions [4] [7] [8]. The 87% naturalization figure and the “58% U.S.‑born” share are separately reported claims that must be combined to estimate the number asked for — a valid technique but one that compounds sampling and definitional error [2] [3].
5. The accountable bottom line
Based on published counts of Somalia‑born Minnesotans (an older 43,000 benchmark) and/or 2024 ACS‑era totals for the Somali community combined with the widely cited 87% naturalization rate for foreign‑born Somalis, the best supported estimate is that roughly 37,000 to 40,000 Somali‑born residents of Minnesota are U.S. citizens [1] [3] [2]. The range reflects uncertainty in the underlying population counts and the need to apply a naturalization percentage to a foreign‑born subtotal rather than to a single direct measure [5].
6. Caveats readers should keep in mind
None of the provided sources gives a single, direct 2024–2025 published table that states “X Somalia‑born Minnesotans are U.S. citizens”; instead, the number above is an explicit synthesis (multiplying foreign‑born counts by reported naturalization rates) that depends on definitions and survey sampling [1] [2] [3]. Alternative interpretations — for example using different population baselines or newer administrative records if they exist — could shift the estimate several thousand up or down [4] [9].