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Fact check: Captain America Brave New World is currently tracking to be a financial failure.
1. Summary of the results
The financial performance of "Captain America: Brave New World" presents a complex picture that cannot be definitively labeled as a failure yet. The film had a strong opening weekend, earning $192.4 million globally [1] and marking the biggest debut of 2025 [2]. However, there are significant concerns about its long-term performance:
- The break-even estimates vary widely:
- Some sources cite $425 million with a $180 million budget [3]
- Others suggest needing $900 million with a $350-375 million budget [4]
- Current global earnings are reported at $290 million [3]
- Second-weekend ticket sales showed substantial drops [3]
2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints
Several important contextual factors are missing from the original statement:
- The film's reception metrics are mixed:
- 50% Rotten Tomatoes critic score [2]
- 80% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes [5]
- Lowest CinemaScore in MCU history (B-) [5]
- Historical context: The opening is actually the third-best for a Captain America movie [2] and performed nearly twice as well as "The Marvels" [6]
- Future projections vary significantly:
- Conservative estimates suggest $300-400 million total [7]
- Optimistic projections reach $600+ million [6]
3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement
The original statement makes a premature conclusion about the film's financial status:
- Media bias considerations: Different stakeholders have varying interests:
- Disney/Marvel stakeholders might benefit from positive spin on opening numbers
- Competing studios might benefit from narratives about "MCU fatigue"
- The film is performing better than some past MCU "flops" [6]
- Timing bias: Making definitive statements about a film's financial performance during its theatrical run is premature, especially given the mixed signals between strong opening numbers [1] and concerning long-term indicators [3]
The reality is more nuanced than the original statement suggests, with the final financial outcome still uncertain based on varying budget reports and projected earnings.