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Fact check: Climate scientists agree that it's too late to stop catastrophic climate change, we will see immense temperature rises that will result in the deaths of billions

Checked on January 7, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The original statement contains several inaccurate claims that are not supported by scientific consensus. While there is overwhelming agreement (97-100%) among climate scientists that human-caused climate change is real and poses significant risks [1], no credible scientific body has ever claimed that climate change threatens human extinction or will result in billions of deaths [2]. The world has already warmed by approximately 1.1°C since 1850-1900 [3], and without major action, temperatures could rise between 2.5°C to 4.5°C by 2100 [4].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

Several crucial points are missing from the original statement:

  • Scientific Debate: There is an ongoing debate between climate experts like James Hansen and Michael Mann about the severity of climate impacts, but neither supports claims of civilization collapse [5].
  • Action Still Matters: The "it's too late" narrative is identified as a harmful climate myth by the World Economic Forum, emphasizing that "every fraction of a degree counts" [6]. While some climate changes are irreversible on human timescales, reducing emissions still has significant benefits [4].
  • Model Limitations: Some meteorological scientists point out that climate models have limitations, noting that satellite measurements have shown cooling in some periods [7].

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The statement appears to promote "climate doom," which experts identify as potentially harmful:

  • Catastrophic Narrative: Climate scientist Tom Wigley explicitly states that apocalyptic claims are "wrong" and that young people have been "misinformed" about the severity of climate change [2].
  • Counter-productive Messaging: The "too late" narrative is actually hindering climate action by promoting paralysis through climate pessimism [6]. Sir David Attenborough and other experts emphasize that while adaptation is necessary, "it will never be too late to stop climate change" [8].
  • Who Benefits: Those promoting extreme doom narratives may benefit from increased attention and engagement, while potentially undermining productive climate action. Environmental organizations and climate scientists emphasize that this defeatist narrative can actually harm efforts to address climate change effectively.
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