Fact Check: uk average june temps are rising

1. Summary of the results

The evidence strongly supports that UK June temperatures are rising, with multiple data points confirming this trend:

June 2025 was officially the hottest on record at 15.8°C, breaking previous records from 1940 and 1976 by 0.9°C ^[1]
The 2014-2023 decade was 0.42°C warmer than the 1991-2020 average and 1.25°C warmer than the 1961-1990 period ^[2]
The frequency of "hot" days (over 28°C) has more than doubled in recent decades ^[2]
A significant milestone was reached in 2022 when UK temperatures exceeded 40°C for the first time in recorded history ^[3]

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original statement lacks crucial context about:

Future Projections: Met Office predictions indicate all UK areas will become warmer by the end of the 21st century, with potential increases of 18-37 extremely hot days per year, depending on emissions scenarios ^[3]
Scientific Attribution: Climate scientists have explicitly linked these temperature increases to human-induced climate change, noting that the probability of breaking previous records has at least doubled since the 1940s ^[1]
Seasonal Patterns: The trend indicates hotter and drier summers will become more common ^[3]

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

While the original statement is factually correct, it's oversimplified and could lead to misunderstandings:

Several groups have vested interests in how this information is presented:

Climate Action Groups benefit from emphasizing the dramatic nature of these changes
Fossil Fuel Industries might benefit from downplaying the human causation aspect
Insurance Companies have financial interests in climate risk assessments
Government Bodies like the Met Office maintain credibility through accurate reporting of these trends

Past Checks