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Fact check: How has Canada's national debt changed since Mark Carney's tenure began?

Checked on August 14, 2025

1. Summary of the results

Based on the available analyses, Canada's national debt has increased significantly since Mark Carney's tenure began. The evidence shows a clear trajectory of rising debt levels and planned increases:

  • Record-breaking debt issuance: Canada's government debt supply is set to hit a record this fiscal year, with gross issuance expected to rise to C$612 billion [1]
  • Surpassing pandemic levels: Debt issuance is expected to surpass pandemic-era record highs, which represents a substantial escalation in government borrowing [2]
  • Planned deficit spending: The Carney government has projected a $40 billion deficit for 2025-26 and plans to run larger deficits than the previous government's plan [3]
  • Long-term borrowing commitments: The government plans a cumulative $224.8 billion in federal government borrowing from 2025/26 to 2028/29, indicating sustained debt growth [4]

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question lacks several important contextual elements:

  • Historical comparison: One source notes that Canada's national debt had already increased from $650 billion to $1.236 trillion under the previous government, providing baseline context for evaluating current changes [3]
  • Strategic rationale: The debt increases are tied to planned investments in the economy using the federal balance sheet, suggesting the borrowing is intended as economic stimulus rather than operational deficit spending [1]
  • Market implications: The increased borrowing is potentially raising borrowing costs and creating pressure for greater government transparency on spending plans [2]
  • Comparative fiscal policy: The Carney government's approach represents a more aggressive borrowing strategy compared to its predecessor's fiscal plans [4]

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original question appears neutral and factual in its framing, simply asking for information about debt changes during a specific timeframe. However, there are some considerations:

  • Timing ambiguity: The question doesn't specify exactly when "Mark Carney's tenure began," which could lead to different baseline measurements for comparison
  • Lack of context: By focusing solely on debt changes without mentioning the economic investment rationale or comparative government performance, the question could inadvertently frame the issue in a way that emphasizes fiscal irresponsibility over economic strategy
  • Missing broader perspective: The question doesn't acknowledge that Canada faces "unprecedented challenges" that may justify increased government spending and borrowing [5]
Want to dive deeper?
What were Mark Carney's key policies as Bank of Canada governor?
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How has Canada's national debt changed since Mark Carney left the Bank of Canada in 2013?
What are the current projections for Canada's national debt under the 2025 budget?