How much did illegal immigrants cost the US in 2024

Checked on December 18, 2025
Disclaimer: Factually can make mistakes. Please verify important information or breaking news. Learn more.

This fact-check may be outdated. Consider refreshing it to get the most current information.

Executive summary

Estimates for the fiscal “cost” of illegal immigration in 2024 diverge sharply because analysts measure different things (gross spending, net cost after taxes, federal vs. state/local impacts, and short‑ vs. long‑term effects); one high-profile Republican estimate places the net annual cost at about $150.7 billion (gross $182 billion minus $31 billion in taxes) [1], while nonpartisan CBO analysis projects that the recent immigration surge will add more federal revenues than costs over the 2024–2034 period, lowering deficits by roughly $0.9 trillion over that decade [2].

1. The headline dollar: $150.7 billion vs. CBO’s long‑run net gain

A Congressional Republican briefing and related reports have circulated a $150.7 billion annual “net” cost figure for illegal immigration in recent years, saying Americans pay roughly $182 billion in gross expenditures and receive about $31 billion in taxes from unauthorized migrants, producing the $150.7 billion shortfall [1] [3]. By contrast, the Congressional Budget Office finds that the post‑2021 immigration surge increases federal revenues by an estimated $1.2 trillion over 2024–2034 and, on net, lowers deficits by about $0.9 trillion in that period — an analysis that emphasizes long‑run budgetary effects and uncertainty in projections [2].

2. Different definitions produce different answers — short term vs. long term

The $150.7 billion figure is largely a point‑in‑time accounting of costs and receipts attributed to unauthorized immigrants and emphasizes immediate fiscal pressures on state and local budgets [1], whereas CBO’s work models dynamic demographic and economic effects over a decade, projecting large revenue gains as newcomers work and pay taxes, and warning that estimates are uncertain and that effects differ across jurisdictions [2] [4].

3. Where the money is felt: states, cities, and special claims

Localities such as New York have reported multi‑billion dollar shelter and service bills — testimony cited estimates of $4.7 billion in 2023 and at least $6 billion in 2024 for New York City — and committees and county officials have highlighted concentrated fiscal stress in frontline jurisdictions [5]. Some analyses also single out Medicaid and emergency‑care spending as material drivers of short‑term costs, with committee releases citing CBO estimates of billions in Medicaid costs tied to recent migration [6].

4. Alternative evidence: net contribution and economic growth arguments

Think tanks and economic researchers point to offsetting or net positive effects: CBO projects that the immigration surge boosts GDP and increases revenues over time [2], and Cato emphasizes long‑run gains — citing CBO and NAS‑based work that immigrants can raise GDP and federal revenues substantially over years [7]. Recent academic updates argue immigrants generate near‑trillion‑dollar tax contributions and may pay more in taxes than they receive in benefits in aggregate, though distributional impacts vary [7].

5. Why the debate is political as well as technical

Estimates cluster by institutional perspective: Republican committees and advocacy groups highlight immediate fiscal burdens and produce headline net‑cost figures such as $150.7 billion to argue for policy changes [1] [3], while CBO and some research institutions stress longer‑term budgetary gains and macroeconomic benefits [2] [7]. Each side’s methods, time horizon, and who pays (federal vs. state/local taxpayers) drive very different headline numbers, and analysts themselves note substantial uncertainty due to imperfect population counts and evolving policy choices [8] [2].

Conclusion: the best answer to “how much did illegal immigrants cost the US in 2024”

There is no single uncontested dollar for 2024; conservative committee calculations put the annual net cost at about $150.7 billion (gross $182 billion, less $31 billion in taxes) for the current period [1], while nonpartisan CBO modeling indicates that the immigration surge will produce net fiscal benefits at the federal level over 2024–2034, adding $1.2 trillion in revenues and lowering deficits by about $0.9 trillion over that decade, and cautions that short‑term and state/local burdens differ from long‑run federal effects [2]. Reporting and policy analysis must therefore be read with attention to scope, timeframe, and institutional biases in the sources cited [3] [7] [1] [2].

Want to dive deeper?
How do federal and state/local cost estimates of unauthorized immigration differ and why?
What methods does the CBO use to project immigration’s fiscal impact over 2024–2034?
What are independent estimates of the unauthorized immigrant population in 2024 and how do they affect cost calculations?