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Fact check: Someone is going to get fucked, either the pension funds for public unions, or the residents of Illinois that have to continue to fund them via escalating property taxes. Currently, Illinois has elected to fuck the home owners.

Checked on April 12, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The original statement's core premise about Illinois' financial dilemma is well-supported by the data. Illinois indeed has the second-highest property taxes in the nation, with rates more than double the national median [1]. The pension crisis has grown dramatically, with taxpayer contributions increasing from $614 million in 1996 to $11.2 billion in 2025 [1]. The unfunded pension liability has exploded from $17 billion in 1994 to $237 billion in 2020, with only $96 billion available for payouts [2].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

Several crucial contextual elements are missing from the original statement:

  • The pension crisis has historical roots dating back to 1917, when legislative reports first warned of potential insolvency [2]
  • The funding gap isn't solely due to public employee benefits, but rather a combination of:
    • Recession impacts
    • Investment losses
    • Contribution holidays
    • Fraudulent actuarial assumptions [3]

  • Property tax increases (52% after inflation from 1996-2016) have primarily funded pensions rather than improving community services [4]
  • The total pension gap could be as high as $6 trillion if more realistic investment return assumptions are used [5]
  • 3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

    The original statement presents a false dichotomy between pension funds and homeowners, when the reality is more complex:

    • The statement overlooks that Illinois spends 11% of its operational expenditures on pensions ($12.2 billion), which is crowding out other critical public services [6]
    • The characterization of public unions as solely responsible for the crisis ignores multiple contributing factors [3]
    • There's potential bias in how different stakeholders frame the issue:
      • Public sector unions benefit from maintaining current benefit levels
      • Property owners advocate for tax relief
      • Politicians benefit from deferring difficult decisions
      • The source indicates that public sector unions have significant political influence that affects policy-making [7]

    The reality is that resolving this issue will likely require sacrifices from multiple stakeholders, potentially including service cuts and infrastructure neglect [5].

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