Fact check: How has the stock market performed up until today in september 2025

1. Summary of the results

The stock market has performed well up until today in September 2025, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite setting fresh closing highs ^[1]. The US equity market was trading at a level equal to a composite of fair value estimates as of August 29, 2025, with the Morningstar US Market Index rising 2.15% in August ^[2]. Small-cap and value stocks outperformed in August, with the Morningstar US Small Cap Index rising 4.58% and the Morningstar US Value Index rising 5.05% ^[2]. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.04% as anticipation grows that the Fed will cut rates several times before the end of the year ^[3]. The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell 0.1% in August, giving stocks an early lift as rate cut hopes surged ^[4]. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has set a historic milestone, climbing above the 46,000 points mark for the first time ever ^[5]. Key drivers of the market's performance include strong earnings momentum, expected Fed rate cuts, and the long-term AI trend ^[6]. Oracle's stock has surged 36% after the company reported a significant increase in cloud infrastructure revenue, driven by booming AI demand ^[1].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

• The original statement lacks context about the historical performance of the stock market in September, which is typically a seasonally weak month for equities ^[6].
• The analyses provided do not mention the potential risks and challenges facing the market, such as inflation and interest rate uncertainty ^[3].
• Alternative viewpoints, such as the potential for a market correction or the impact of global economic trends on the US stock market, are not fully explored in the analyses ^{[2] [1]}.
• The role of sector-specific trends, such as the growth of AI and cloud infrastructure, in driving the market's performance is not fully examined ^[1].
• The potential impact of geopolitical events on the market is not discussed in the analyses ^{[3] [7]}.

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original statement may be overly optimistic about the stock market's performance, as it does not account for potential risks and challenges facing the market ^[6]. The analyses provided may be biased towards a bullish outlook, as they focus on the market's recent gains and do not fully explore alternative viewpoints ^{[2] [1]}. Investors who are already invested in the market may benefit from this framing, as it reinforces their existing investments ^[1]. On the other hand, new investors may be misled by the lack of context and alternative viewpoints, and may not fully understand the potential risks and challenges facing the market ^[6]. Financial institutions and investment firms may also benefit from this framing, as it supports their own investment strategies and recommendations ^{[3] [7]}.