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Fact check: What parts of medicaid and medicare are affected by the presidents big beautiful bill?

Checked on July 7, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" will have significant and widespread impacts on both Medicaid and Medicare programs, affecting millions of Americans' healthcare access and coverage.

Medicaid Impacts:

  • The bill will cut federal spending on Medicaid and Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP) benefits by $1.02 trillion [1]
  • An estimated 12 million people will lose coverage by 2034 due to reductions in federal support for Medicaid and Affordable Care Act marketplaces [2] [3]
  • The legislation introduces mandatory work requirements for Medicaid enrollees, ending coverage for millions who do not meet new employment or reporting standards [3]
  • States that have expanded Medicaid will be required to charge enrollees up to $35 for some services [3]
  • The bill includes frequent eligibility checks and scales back on provider taxes, making it harder for states to draw additional federal Medicaid funds [4]
  • Medicaid enrollment could drop by 5 million compared to current projections [4]

Medicare Impacts:

  • The bill will trigger mandatory cuts to Medicare totaling approximately $500 billion over 2026-2034 due to increased deficit spending [5]
  • Medicare benefits will be affected, including eligibility and access to Medicare Savings Programs [1]
  • The legislation will impact eligibility for people with lawful immigration status, triggering $490 billion in cuts from 2027 to 2034 [2]

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question lacks crucial context about the broader healthcare system implications of this legislation. The analyses reveal that the bill's impact extends far beyond just Medicaid and Medicare:

  • Rural communities will be disproportionately affected, with hospitals and nursing homes facing financial strain due to cuts in Medicaid payments [3]
  • The legislation will undermine the finances of hospitals, nursing homes, and community health centers across the country [3]
  • ACA marketplace enrollment could fall to 18 million by 2027 from 24 million in 2025, putting additional strain on insurers and hospitals [4]

Healthcare industry stakeholders would have different perspectives on these changes:

  • Insurance companies may benefit from reduced regulatory requirements but face financial strain from decreased enrollment
  • Hospital systems and healthcare providers would likely oppose these cuts as they face reduced reimbursements and increased uncompensated care
  • State governments would need to decide whether to maintain expanded Medicaid programs with reduced federal support

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original question uses the euphemistic phrase "big beautiful bill" which appears to be political messaging that obscures the substantial healthcare cuts contained within the legislation. This framing could mislead readers about the bill's actual impact:

  • The casual, positive language ("big beautiful") contrasts sharply with the analyses showing that the bill will jeopardize the physical and financial health of tens of millions of Americans [3]
  • The question implies uncertainty about which "parts" are affected, when the analyses clearly show comprehensive cuts across both programs affecting eligibility, benefits, and access
  • The phrasing doesn't acknowledge that these are cuts and restrictions rather than improvements or expansions to healthcare coverage

The analyses consistently describe widespread negative implications for healthcare access [2], suggesting the original question's framing may reflect political spin rather than objective inquiry about healthcare policy impacts.

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