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Fact check: Did the USA have more excess deaths during COVID than other countries?

Checked on December 16, 2024

1. Summary of the results

1. Summary of the results

The USA experienced approximately 480,000 excess deaths in 2020 alone, with the number growing to over 930,000 by 2021. While this placed the US 4th globally in total deaths, the per-capita rate of 140 deaths per 100,000 people provides a more nuanced picture. The US performed worse than many other developed nations, including Spain, UK, France, and Canada, but was not the highest in mortality when population size is considered.

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question oversimplifies a complex issue that requires multiple metrics for accurate comparison:

  • Raw numbers vs. per capita deaths show different rankings
  • India (4.7 million), Russia (1.1 million), and Indonesia (1 million) had higher total excess deaths than the US
  • Different countries had varying testing capabilities and reporting methods
  • The US population has specific risk factors (higher rates of comorbidities) despite being younger on average
  • Countries like Russia showed massive discrepancies between official counts (56,271) and estimated excess deaths (186,000)

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The question implies a simple yes/no answer is possible, when in reality:

  • Public health organizations and researchers benefit from different methodologies of counting deaths, which can affect funding and policy decisions
  • Political entities benefit from either emphasizing or downplaying death counts to support their pandemic response narratives
  • The WHO itself acknowledged that official global death counts (5.4 million) were likely significant undercounts
  • Direct country-to-country comparisons are problematic due to variations in testing programs, ascertainment rates, and death attribution methods
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