Fact check: What are the crime rates for violent crimes vs property crimes in Chicago, Baltimore, and Washington D.C. in 2025?

1. Summary of the results

Based on the available analyses, all three cities show declining violent crime rates in 2025, though specific property crime data varies by location:

Chicago:

• Violent crime rate of approximately 540 crimes per 100,000 residents ^[1]
• Part of a national trend with most major crime categories down below pre-pandemic levels, including homicides and sexual assaults ^[2]
• Experienced a decline in violent crimes including homicide, aggravated assault, and robbery in the first half of 2025 compared to 2024 ^[3]

Baltimore:

• 22% decrease in homicides and 19% decrease in non-fatal shootings for 2025 ^[4]
• Nearly 20% decrease in violent crime during the first quarter of 2025 ^[5]
• 17% decrease in property-related crimes (excluding auto thefts, which decreased only 3%) ^[5]

Washington D.C.:

• 27% decrease in violent crimes (1,658 total violent crimes as of August 25, 2025)
• 5% decrease in property crimes (15,006 total property crimes as of August 25, 2025)

These trends align with national data showing a 17% decrease in homicide rates and 10% decrease in aggravated assault rates across multiple cities from the first half of 2024 to 2025 ^[3].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question seeks specific crime rates, but the available data primarily provides percentage changes rather than absolute rates per capita. Only Chicago has a specific rate mentioned (540 per 100,000 residents) ^[1].

Key missing context includes:

• Baseline crime rates for Baltimore and Washington D.C. to properly contextualize the percentage decreases
• Seasonal variations in crime patterns that might affect mid-year comparisons
• Specific property crime subcategories beyond the general decreases mentioned
• Comparison to national averages for proper context of whether these cities remain above or below typical crime rates

The analyses focus heavily on positive trends and decreases, but don't address whether these cities still maintain higher absolute crime rates compared to national averages, which could provide important context for policymakers and residents.

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original question itself contains no apparent misinformation or bias - it's a straightforward request for factual crime statistics. However, the question's framing assumes that 2025 data would be complete and readily available, when in reality, crime statistics are typically reported with delays and the analyses show mostly mid-year or partial-year data.

The sources themselves appear to present generally positive narratives about crime reduction, which could reflect:

• Selection bias toward reporting good news about crime trends
• Political motivations from law enforcement agencies and city officials who benefit from demonstrating effective crime reduction
• Timing bias as mid-year reports may not capture seasonal crime variations that occur later in the year

The lack of specific property crime breakdowns in most analyses makes it difficult to fully answer the original question's request for both violent and property crime comparisons across all three cities.