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Fact check: What percentage of mass shootings in the USA since 2010 have been linked to far-right ideologies?
1. Summary of the results
The analyses provided suggest that there is a significant link between far-right ideologies and mass shootings in the USA since 2010. According to [1], 57% of ideological mass killings in the US since 2010 have been linked to far-right ideologies, with white supremacist attacks driving the increase in extremist mass killings [1]. Furthermore, [2] reports that in 2023, all 17 extremist-related murders in the United States were committed by right-wing extremists, with 15 of the 17 killings involving perpetrators or accomplices with white supremacist connections [2]. Additionally, [2] notes that over the past decade, right-wing extremists have committed the majority of extremist-related killings in all years but one, with 76% of the 442 people killed at the hands of extremists from 2014 to 2023 being killed by right-wing extremists [2]. However, it is essential to consider the broader context of mass shootings, as [3] provides data on mass shootings in the US from 1966 to 2019, including information on the psychosocial history of mass shooters, which may not be directly related to far-right ideologies [3].
2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints
Some key context missing from the original statement includes the definition of "mass shootings" and "far-right ideologies," which may vary across sources. For instance, [4] notes that between 2006 and 2009, fewer than 1% of mass-casualty events had a link to extremism, while between 2018 and 2021, more than 5% did [4]. This suggests that the link between far-right ideologies and mass shootings may be increasing over time. Additionally, [5] highlights the global presence of far-right extremism, with incidents reported in several countries, which may indicate that the issue is not unique to the United States [5]. Alternative viewpoints may include considering the role of mental health and personal trauma in mass shootings, as suggested by [3], which notes that most mass shooters were troubled by personal trauma before their shooting incidents and were often in a state of crisis at the time [3]. Key stakeholders who may benefit from considering these alternative viewpoints include:
- Mental health professionals, who may be interested in the psychosocial history of mass shooters [3]
- Law enforcement agencies, who may need to consider the global presence of far-right extremism [5]
- Policymakers, who may need to address the increasing link between far-right ideologies and mass shootings [4]
3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement
The original statement may be subject to potential misinformation or bias, as it does not provide a clear definition of "mass shootings" or "far-right ideologies." This lack of clarity may lead to misinterpretation of the data, as different sources may have different definitions and criteria for inclusion. For example, [1] reports that 57% of ideological mass killings have been linked to far-right ideologies, but it is unclear how this percentage is calculated or what specific criteria are used to define "ideological mass killings" [1]. Additionally, the statement may be biased towards emphasizing the link between far-right ideologies and mass shootings, without considering other potential factors, such as mental health or personal trauma, which may also contribute to mass shootings [3]. Key stakeholders who may benefit from this framing include:
- Advocacy groups focused on combating far-right extremism, who may use the data to support their cause [1] [2]
- Politicians who may use the data to support policies aimed at addressing far-right extremism [4] [5]
- Researchers who may use the data to study the link between far-right ideologies and mass shootings [1] [2]