What are official crime statistics for migrants in Germany?
Executive summary
Official German police and BKA statistics show a notable share—and in recent years a rising share—of suspects without German citizenship in overall crime figures (e.g., roughly 783,876 non‑German suspects out of ~2.09 million suspects in 2022) while simultaneous analyses warn that demographic, geographic and reporting factors complicate causal claims about “migrant crime” [1] [2] [3].
1. Snapshot: the headline numbers the government released
Germany’s official police crime statistics (PKS) and related BKA reports list both absolute suspect counts and special “immigrant” categories; the PKS for 2022 recorded about 2,093,782 total suspects with roughly 1.31 million German citizens and about 783,876 suspects without German citizenship [1], and government summaries for 2023 indicated foreigners accounted for a record ~41% of suspects as authorities reported rising shares in 2022 and 2023 [2] [4].
2. Definitions matter: who counts as a “migrant” in these tables
Official breakdowns use several overlapping labels—non‑German suspects, “immigrants” as defined by the BKA (asylum seekers, recognized refugees, tolerated stayers and those illegally present), and suspects without German citizenship—so headline proportions mix legal status, nationality and residency categories and therefore can inflate apparent migrant shares because some categories (e.g., violations of immigration law) can only be recorded for non‑citizens [1] [5].
3. Recent trendline: rises, but uneven by age and cohort
Between 2021 and 2023 the number and share of non‑German suspects rose notably in many categories—government reporting highlighted increases in 2022 and 2023 and the BKA counted tens of thousands of German victims of violent crimes by immigrants in 2022 (47,923, per BKA figures cited in secondary reporting) while also recording increases in non‑German suspects overall [6] [2] [4]; InfoMigrants and BKA summaries also show sharp percentage rises among non‑German children, youths and young adults in 2023 versus 2022 [7].
4. Not all crimes move the same way: violent vs property vs immigration offences
Analyses and the PKS differentiate offence types: some studies and reports find property, drug and petty offences rose with certain migrant inflows, while violent‑crime patterns are more mixed; the PKS and BKA data show overrepresentation of non‑Germans in some serious offence categories (for example, a high share of suspects in “crimes against life” and serious bodily harm in particular years), but a portion of the statistical rise is driven by immigration‑specific offences that only affect non‑citizens [8] [5] [1] [9].
5. What researchers say about cause and context—demographics, location, enforcement
Multiple academic studies and the ifo institute analysis caution against simple causal links: migrants are on average younger and more male (traits associated with higher offending rates), tend to live in denser urban districts with higher baseline crime, and can be more likely to be stopped or recorded by police—factors that explain part of overrepresentation; causal research on the 2015–16 refugee inflow finds some short‑run increases in property and violent crime in affected districts but also emphasizes complexity and variation across studies [3] [10] [11] [12] [9].
6. Politics, headlines and limits of the official record
Government and media headlines emphasizing a sharp migrant role in rising crime have fueled political pressure for tougher migration measures (cited by Interior Ministry statements and coverage in Politico and national outlets), while academics and some NGOs point to structural drivers and measurement bias; the sources show competing agendas—security and deportation advocates use raw shares to argue policy change, and researchers urge caution and deeper context beyond headline percentages [2] [4] [3] [7].
Limitations of this synthesis: the available reporting and studies provide detailed PKS/BKA figures and several academic analyses, but not a unified causal verdict—official statistics document the shares and recent rises, while social‑science work stresses demographic, locational and enforcement explanations that complicate direct attribution [1] [3] [10].