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Fact check: How does Washington DC's murder rate compare to New York City's in 2025?

Checked on August 25, 2025

1. Summary of the results

Based on the available data, Washington DC's murder rate significantly exceeds New York City's murder rate. In 2024, Washington DC recorded a homicide rate of 27.3 per 100,000 residents, which was nearly six times higher than New York City's rate [1] [2]. This made DC the fourth-highest homicide rate in the country [1] [2].

For 2025 specifically, the data shows contrasting trends:

  • Washington DC: Reports indicate that homicide rates continue to decrease in 2025 according to the Metropolitan Police Department [3]
  • New York City: Has experienced significant reductions, with murders decreasing by 34.4% in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, recording only 63 murders [4]. For the first five months of 2025, NYC recorded 112 murders total [5]

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question lacks several crucial contextual elements:

  • Historical trends: Washington DC's homicide rate has been steadily climbing since 2012 [6], providing important background on the trajectory of violence in the capital
  • National context: A broader study of 30 US cities showed a 17% decrease in homicide rates in the first half of 2025 compared to 2024 [7], suggesting both cities may be part of a national trend
  • Data reliability concerns: There have been allegations of manipulated crime data in Washington DC, though experts believe murder rate statistics are "very reliable" since homicides are harder to manipulate than other crime categories [2]
  • Political implications: The White House has specifically highlighted DC's crime rates as being problematic [1], suggesting this comparison may have political significance for federal oversight of the nation's capital

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original question itself appears neutral and factual, simply requesting a comparison. However, the context reveals potential bias in how this information might be used:

  • Political motivations: The White House's emphasis on DC crime statistics [1] suggests this comparison may be used to support particular policy positions regarding federal intervention in DC governance
  • Data manipulation concerns: While murder statistics are considered reliable, there are ongoing allegations about manipulated crime data in DC [2], which could affect public trust in any comparisons
  • Incomplete 2025 data: The question asks specifically about 2025 rates, but complete annual data is not yet available, making any definitive comparison premature and potentially misleading

The comparison heavily favors highlighting DC's higher crime rates, which benefits those advocating for increased federal oversight of Washington DC or those seeking to criticize current local leadership in the nation's capital.

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