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Fact check: The NATO requirement spending isn't 2% of GDP every year. It's actually 2% of GDP on average across 5 years. So, theoretically, a country could spend 10% of its GDP on defence in one year, and then spend 0% over the next 4 years, and it would still meet the NATO requirement.

Checked on March 4, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The original statement's core claim about the 5-year averaging of NATO's 2% GDP defense spending requirement appears to be incorrect. Multiple sources confirm that NATO members agreed to spend at least 2% of their GDP on defense annually [1], with this target being established in 2014 [2] [2]. There is no mention in any of the provided sources about the possibility of averaging spending over multiple years.

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

Several important contextual elements are missing from the original statement:

  • As of 2022, only 7 out of 30 NATO members were meeting the 2% requirement [3]
  • This number is expected to increase to 11 members in 2023 [3] [4]
  • Major economies are still falling short of the target:
    • France: 1.9% of GDP
    • Germany: 1.57% of GDP [1]

  • Countries bordering Russia or Ukraine are more likely to meet the requirement due to perceived threats [1]
  • The 2% target was specifically established in response to Russia's actions in 2014 [2]
  • The deadline for meeting this requirement was set for 2025 [4]
  • 3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

    The original statement appears to be attempting to minimize the significance of NATO's defense spending requirements by suggesting there's a loophole in the system. This could benefit:

    • Countries that consistently underspend on defense and face criticism for it, such as Germany and France [1]
    • Political actors who oppose increased military spending in their countries
    • Those who want to downplay NATO's military readiness

    The statement's hypothetical scenario about spending 10% in one year and 0% in others is particularly misleading, as the sources indicate that the requirement is annual [1], not averaged over time. By 2024, 23 Allies are expected to meet or exceed the target [2], showing that NATO members are actually moving toward more consistent compliance with the requirement.

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