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Fact check: Hypothetically, In the events of Mutually Assured Destruction enacted and nuclear weapons are being launched all over the world, what would be the possible outcomes, both in short- and long-terms?
1. Summary of the results
The concept of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) is a nuclear deterrence strategy developed during the Cold War, ensuring that a full-scale nuclear attack would result in complete annihilation of both the attacker and defender [1]. Currently, the United Nations has established an Independent Scientific Panel specifically to study the comprehensive effects of nuclear war, marking the first such study in over 30 years [2] [3].
2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints
Several crucial contextual elements are missing from the original question:
- The MAD doctrine assumes rational actors, which may not be applicable to all current nuclear-armed states [1]
- Modern technological developments, particularly in:
- Cyber-espionage
- High-speed missiles
Could potentially circumvent traditional MAD deterrence strategies [1]
- The current global situation is more complex than during the Cold War because:
- Nuclear arsenals are being modernized
- Global interdependence makes potential conflicts more catastrophic
- There are more nuclear-armed states involved [3]
3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement
The original question oversimplifies the complexity of nuclear conflict scenarios by:
- Assuming MAD would necessarily lead to worldwide nuclear launches, when historically the strategy actually prevented direct full-scale conflicts while allowing proxy wars [1]
- Not acknowledging that three nuclear-armed states have voted against comprehensive study of nuclear war effects, suggesting some nations prefer to maintain ambiguity about potential outcomes [3]
- Failing to recognize that the international community considers this threat serious enough to establish the first comprehensive study in three decades [3]
The question of nuclear war outcomes is considered so complex that it requires a dedicated UN panel to study the:
- Physical impacts
- Environmental consequences
- Health effects
- Societal implications
across local, regional, and planetary scales [2]