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Fact check: Hypothetically, In the events of Mutually Assured Destruction enacted and nuclear weapons are being launched all over the world, what would be the possible outcomes, both in short- and long-terms?

Checked on March 20, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The concept of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) is a nuclear deterrence strategy developed during the Cold War, ensuring that a full-scale nuclear attack would result in complete annihilation of both the attacker and defender [1]. Currently, the United Nations has established an Independent Scientific Panel specifically to study the comprehensive effects of nuclear war, marking the first such study in over 30 years [2] [3].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

Several crucial contextual elements are missing from the original question:

  • The MAD doctrine assumes rational actors, which may not be applicable to all current nuclear-armed states [1]
  • Modern technological developments, particularly in:
    • Cyber-espionage
    • High-speed missiles

Could potentially circumvent traditional MAD deterrence strategies [1]

  • The current global situation is more complex than during the Cold War because:
    • Nuclear arsenals are being modernized
    • Global interdependence makes potential conflicts more catastrophic
    • There are more nuclear-armed states involved [3]

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original question oversimplifies the complexity of nuclear conflict scenarios by:

  • Assuming MAD would necessarily lead to worldwide nuclear launches, when historically the strategy actually prevented direct full-scale conflicts while allowing proxy wars [1]
  • Not acknowledging that three nuclear-armed states have voted against comprehensive study of nuclear war effects, suggesting some nations prefer to maintain ambiguity about potential outcomes [3]
  • Failing to recognize that the international community considers this threat serious enough to establish the first comprehensive study in three decades [3]

The question of nuclear war outcomes is considered so complex that it requires a dedicated UN panel to study the:

  • Physical impacts
  • Environmental consequences
  • Health effects
  • Societal implications

across local, regional, and planetary scales [2]

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