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Fact check: Russia is taking over all fortified Ukrainian cities

Checked on February 2, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The claim that "Russia is taking over all fortified Ukrainian cities" is significantly overstated. While Russian forces have made some advances, these gains are:

  • Incremental and gradual, falling below the pace expected in modern mechanized warfare [1]
  • Concentrated in specific areas like Velyka Novosilka, Novovasylivka near Pokrovsk, and sectors near Kupiansk [2] [3]
  • Not indicative of a comprehensive takeover, with Ukrainian forces actively repelling attacks (71 in 24 hours around Pokrovsk alone) [2]

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

Several crucial contextual elements are missing from the original statement:

  • Ukrainian Military Situation: The Ukrainian forces face significant challenges including:
  • Manpower shortages
  • Command structure issues
  • Morale problems [4]
  • Strategic Withdrawals: In some cases, like Velyka Novosilka, Ukrainian forces have made strategic withdrawals to avoid encirclement rather than being "taken over" [5]
  • Innovative Defense: Ukraine continues to demonstrate military capability through innovative tactics, such as the use of uncrewed ground vehicles and aerial systems near Kharkiv [6]
  • Broader Strategic Context: Both sides are positioning for potential ceasefire negotiations [3]

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original statement appears to suffer from several biases:

  • It oversimplifies a complex military situation where Russian forces are actually preparing for long-term, months-long efforts rather than swift takeovers [7]
  • It ignores the fact that many Russian claims of capture cannot be independently verified [2]
  • It fails to acknowledge that Russian advances remain unclear in terms of their ability to rapidly progress beyond recently captured settlements [1]

This type of oversimplified narrative could benefit:

  • Russian propaganda efforts seeking to project strength and inevitable victory
  • Military hardware manufacturers who might benefit from escalating conflict perception
  • Political actors seeking to influence public opinion about the war's direction
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