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Fact check: How many casualties have there been on the russian side of the russia-ukraine conflict, according to both pro-russian and pro-ukraine media?

Checked on March 14, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The exact number of Russian casualties in the Ukraine conflict varies significantly depending on the source and time period:

  • According to Ukrainian Defense Forces, Russia has lost extensive military equipment, including over 10,000 tanks, 21,000 armored vehicles, and nearly 29,000 UAVs [1]. In a single 24-hour period in March 2025, they reported 1,430 Russian soldier casualties [2].
  • British Military Intelligence and other Western sources estimate approximately 800,000 total Russian casualties since February 2022 [3], with particularly heavy losses in 2024 (429,660 casualties) and December 2024 alone seeing 48,670 casualties [3].
  • Russian sources claim significantly lower numbers, reporting only 5,000-8,000 losses from 2014-2023 in the Donbas region [4].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

  • It's crucial to note that these calculations are acknowledged to be approximate and not particularly accurate [5].
  • Russia has never officially provided comprehensive casualty data [4], making independent verification challenging.
  • Different international sources provide varying estimates:
  • U.S. officials estimated combined casualties at around 500,000
  • British officials suggested around 350,000 casualties
  • Ukraine's military claimed 407,240 Russian casualties [6]

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

  • The significant discrepancy between Russian-reported numbers (5,000-8,000) and Western/Ukrainian estimates (350,000-800,000) demonstrates how casualty figures are heavily influenced by propaganda and strategic communication.
  • Several sources explicitly focus on disinformation narratives surrounding the conflict rather than providing concrete numbers [7] [8].
  • The International Institute for Strategic Studies emphasizes the difficulty in verifying exact numbers due to controlled information from both Russia and Ukraine [9].
  • Who benefits from these narratives:
  • Russia benefits from reporting lower casualties to maintain domestic support and military morale
  • Ukraine and Western allies benefit from reporting higher Russian casualties to demonstrate battlefield success and justify continued military support
  • The "fog of war" and propaganda from both sides make accurate casualty assessment extremely challenging [6]
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