Fact check: How did the 2024 presidential election results compare to the 2020 election in key battleground states?

1. Summary of the results

The 2024 presidential election results showed a significant shift to the right, with President-elect Donald Trump winning all seven closely watched states, whereas in 2020, President Biden won six of them ^[1]. Key battleground states such as Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada saw notable shifts in voter trends, with Trump gaining ground among Latino voters in some states ^{[2] [3]}. The election results also led to a Republican trifecta, with control of the presidency, Senate, and House of Representatives, which may result in changes to policies and regulations affecting various industries and aspects of society ^[4]. Some sources highlight that the shifts in certain states, such as Georgia and North Carolina, were small, suggesting that these states will remain highly competitive ^[3]. Historical context is also provided, noting that many states have had close margins in the last 40 years, and some states have had tight margins in five of the last 10 presidential elections ^[5].

• The Hispanic vote was a wild card, with Democrats suffering pronounced erosion in Wisconsin, particularly in Hispanic-majority precincts of Milwaukee County, where the shift was 10 points ^[2].
• The 'WOW' counties of Washington, Ozaukee, and Waukesha outside Milwaukee have historically been the biggest vote bank in the state for Republican candidates, but the GOP's advantage has been receding, with Democrats modestly improving their performance in these counties ^[2].
• The large swings toward Trump in New York and California suggest a resurgence of Republicanism, and the drop in Democratic turnout in these states, particularly in California, accounted for a large share of the swing toward Trump ^[3].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

Some sources provide limited comparisons to the 2020 election results, focusing instead on the outcomes of the 2024 elections ^[6]. Additionally, the original statement does not account for the potential implications of the election results on various issues, including climate change, the economy, and social policies, which may impact different groups and communities ^[7]. Alternative viewpoints are also not fully represented, such as the potential changes to healthcare, education, and funding for programs affecting specific professions, which may be shaped by the new administration and Congress ^[8].

• The current swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, all swung from Democrat to Republican in 2024, and tight margins may also indicate a swing state ^[5].
• Experts from various fields share their insights on the 2024 election results, discussing the potential implications for various issues, but these perspectives may not be universally representative ^[7].

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original statement may be incomplete, as it does not provide a comprehensive comparison of the 2024 presidential election results to the 2020 election in key battleground states ^[9]. Biased framing may also be present, as some sources suggest a significant shift to the right without fully acknowledging the complexities and nuances of the election results ^[1]. Furthermore, the statement may benefit certain groups, such as the Republican Party, by framing the election results as a decisive victory without fully considering the implications for various issues and communities ^[4].

• The sources cited may have different agendas, such as promoting a particular political ideology or advocating for specific policies, which may influence their analyses and interpretations of the election results ^{[2] [3] [4]}.
• The original statement may oversimplify the complexities of the election results, failing to account for the diverse perspectives and experiences of different groups and communities ^{[7] [8]}.