Fact check: Which states had the closest margins of victory in the 2024 presidential election?

1. Summary of the results

Based on the analyses provided, the closest margins of victory in the 2024 presidential election occurred in three key swing states. According to the data, Wisconsin had the smallest margin with a swing of 0.9 points, followed by Michigan with 1.4 points, and Pennsylvania with 1.7 points ^[1].

Pennsylvania is specifically identified as the tipping-point state that was decided by 1.7 points ^[2]. The analyses confirm that these three states - Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania - represented the most competitive battlegrounds in the election ^[1].

Additional sources provide detailed election results by state, including electoral votes and popular vote percentages that support these findings ^[3], though some sources offer limited detail on specific vote margins ^[4].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question focuses solely on numerical margins without considering several important contextual factors:

• The definition of "closest" could vary - whether measured by percentage points, raw vote totals, or swing from previous elections
• The analyses suggest the election was "closer than some media outlets initially suggested" ^[2], indicating potential discrepancies in how closeness was initially reported
• The question doesn't account for other potentially close races that may not have been swing states but still had narrow margins
• No consideration of down-ballot races or how state-level margins compared to overall national trends

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original question itself appears factually neutral and straightforward, asking for objective data about election margins. However, there are some limitations in the available analyses:

• One source acknowledges it "does not provide specific information about the closest margins" ^[5], suggesting incomplete data coverage
• Some sources have limited usefulness due to lack of specific vote margins or percentages ^[4]
• The framing of "closeness" could be subjective - what constitutes a "close" margin may vary depending on historical context or political perspective

The question itself does not appear to contain misinformation, but the completeness of available data varies significantly across sources, which could lead to incomplete or potentially misleading conclusions if not all relevant information is considered.