Which demographic groups among 2024 Trump voters showed the largest increases in expressed disappointment or regret?
Executive summary
Recent polling and targeted surveys point to the largest upticks in disappointment or regret among non‑MAGA segments of Trump’s 2024 coalition — chiefly Latino voters, independents in swing states, and younger voters — while his core base remains comparatively steady [1] [2] [3] [4].
1. Latino voters: the biggest documented shift
Multiple polls and advocacy‑group surveys identify Latino Trump voters as exhibiting one of the clearest increases in expressed disappointment or regret, with Somos Votantes reporting “more than one in three” Latino 2024 Trump voters now saying they are disappointed or regret their vote and tying this shift explicitly to economic grievances like rising costs [1].
2. Independents in swing states: regret concentrated where elections were tight
Navigator Research’s April poll and accompanying focus groups found that independent voters in key battlegrounds — specifically Pennsylvania, Michigan and North Carolina — are showing “deep regret and frustration” about having supported Trump in 2024, signaling a concentrated erosion among the swing‑state independents who decided the last race [2].
3. Younger voters and Gen Z: pronounced disapproval, if not universal regret
Research from the Harvard Ash Center and broader post‑election analyses document that younger voters shifted more toward Trump in 2024 than in prior cycles but now register “overwhelming” disapproval of his early performance, an indicator that younger cohorts express higher dissatisfaction even if that doesn’t always translate into outright admissions of regret [3] [5].
4. “Non‑MAGA” or pragmatic converts: anecdotal and qualitative evidence of remorse
Qualitative reporting and local interviews collected by outlets such as Alternet and the Chicago Tribune show a pattern among voters who crossed from Democratic or independent backgrounds to back Trump in 2024 — these voters often cite broken policy promises (on the economy, border or trade) and “cruelty” or contradictory behavior as reasons for regret, suggesting the clearest attrition is among pragmatic converts rather than the ideological base [6].
5. The MAGA core remains largely intact — that contrast matters
Polls consistently show that the vast majority of committed MAGA Republicans report no regret: Navigator found only 13 percent of MAGA Republicans said they regret or are disappointed, and broader polling shows Republicans overall express higher satisfaction with the election outcome than Democrats, underlining that the increases in remorse are concentrated outside the activist base [2] [7].
6. How big is the phenomenon overall, and where the data limits remain
National and university polls give different magnitudes — for example, a UMass Amherst survey found about 26 percent of Trump voters had at least some concerns about their vote, while other surveys report smaller shares who would actually change their vote — indicating that “regret” can mean anything from mild concern to a wish to have voted differently and that available data varies by question wording and sample [4] [8]. Reporting gaps remain: comprehensive, demographically disaggregated time‑series that show the trajectory of regret across every subgroup are not present in the sources provided, so conclusions must rest on a mix of targeted nonprofit polling (Latino voters), battleground focus groups (independents), demographic analyses (younger voters) and qualitative interviews (pragmatic converts) rather than a single, uniform national metric [1] [2] [3] [6].