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Fact check: How many california democrats want gavin newsom to run for president

Checked on August 23, 2025

1. Summary of the results

Based on the available polling data, 25% of California's Democratic voters support Gavin Newsom for the 2028 Democratic primary [1]. This figure comes from a recent Politico and Citrin Center poll that shows Newsom leading among California Democrats, with Newsom at 25 percentage points compared to former Vice-President Kamala Harris at 19 percent [2] [3].

The analyses indicate that while specific polling numbers are limited, Newsom has emerged as the favored candidate among California Democrats in early 2028 presidential polling [2]. His national profile has been rising due to his confrontational approach toward Trump and various policy initiatives [4] [5].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question seeks a comprehensive view of California Democratic support, but the available data provides only a snapshot from one polling organization. Several important contextual elements are missing:

  • No information about the remaining 56% of California Democrats - the polling only accounts for 44% of respondents (25% Newsom + 19% Harris), leaving unclear where the majority stands [1] [2]
  • Timing and methodology of the polls - the analyses don't specify when these polls were conducted or their sample sizes, which could significantly impact the reliability of the 25% figure
  • Alternative Democratic candidates beyond Harris who might be competing for California Democratic support in 2028
  • Geographic and demographic breakdowns within California that might show varying levels of support across different communities

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original question itself doesn't contain misinformation, but it assumes a binary answer where the reality is more nuanced. The question implies there should be a definitive number of California Democrats wanting Newsom to run, when in fact:

  • Multiple sources failed to provide specific data on this question [6] [5] [7] [8] [9], suggesting comprehensive polling on this specific question may not exist
  • The available 25% figure represents primary support rather than general desire for candidacy - supporting someone in a primary poll doesn't necessarily equate to wanting them to run [1]
  • Media coverage focuses on Newsom's rising national profile rather than systematic measurement of California Democratic sentiment about his potential candidacy [4] [5]

The question's framing could benefit from acknowledging that early presidential polling often reflects name recognition and current political positioning rather than deep voter preference for candidacy.

Want to dive deeper?
What percentage of California voters approve of Gavin Newsom's job performance?
Has Gavin Newsom expressed interest in a 2024 presidential run?
How does Gavin Newsom's popularity among California Democrats compare to other potential candidates?
What are the key issues that California Democrats want Gavin Newsom to focus on in a presidential campaign?
How would a Gavin Newsom presidential campaign impact the 2024 California gubernatorial election?