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Fact check: How many california democrats want gavin newsom to run for president
1. Summary of the results
Based on the available polling data, 25% of California's Democratic voters support Gavin Newsom for the 2028 Democratic primary [1]. This figure comes from a recent Politico and Citrin Center poll that shows Newsom leading among California Democrats, with Newsom at 25 percentage points compared to former Vice-President Kamala Harris at 19 percent [2] [3].
The analyses indicate that while specific polling numbers are limited, Newsom has emerged as the favored candidate among California Democrats in early 2028 presidential polling [2]. His national profile has been rising due to his confrontational approach toward Trump and various policy initiatives [4] [5].
2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints
The original question seeks a comprehensive view of California Democratic support, but the available data provides only a snapshot from one polling organization. Several important contextual elements are missing:
- No information about the remaining 56% of California Democrats - the polling only accounts for 44% of respondents (25% Newsom + 19% Harris), leaving unclear where the majority stands [1] [2]
- Timing and methodology of the polls - the analyses don't specify when these polls were conducted or their sample sizes, which could significantly impact the reliability of the 25% figure
- Alternative Democratic candidates beyond Harris who might be competing for California Democratic support in 2028
- Geographic and demographic breakdowns within California that might show varying levels of support across different communities
3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement
The original question itself doesn't contain misinformation, but it assumes a binary answer where the reality is more nuanced. The question implies there should be a definitive number of California Democrats wanting Newsom to run, when in fact:
- Multiple sources failed to provide specific data on this question [6] [5] [7] [8] [9], suggesting comprehensive polling on this specific question may not exist
- The available 25% figure represents primary support rather than general desire for candidacy - supporting someone in a primary poll doesn't necessarily equate to wanting them to run [1]
- Media coverage focuses on Newsom's rising national profile rather than systematic measurement of California Democratic sentiment about his potential candidacy [4] [5]
The question's framing could benefit from acknowledging that early presidential polling often reflects name recognition and current political positioning rather than deep voter preference for candidacy.