Which candidates are leading in the December 2, 2025 special election polls and by what margins?

1. What the recorded sources actually say about the December 2 special election

Ballotpedia’s special-election calendar lists Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District special election on December 2, 2025 and treats it as one of several scheduled special contests in the 119th Congress cycle ^[1]. Wikipedia’s 2025 elections summary likewise records that the Tennessee special election will occur on December 2, 2025 ^[2]. The Green Papers supplies polling-hour details for that Tennessee special election—polls reportedly close at 7:00 p.m. CST on Tuesday, December 2, 2025—focusing on logistics rather than voter-preference polling ^[3].

2. What the available sources do not provide: no polling numbers or leader-by-margin reporting

None of the supplied pages include pre-election or live public-opinion polling results for the December 2 Tennessee special election. Ballotpedia and Wikipedia list the race and schedule but do not publish candidate polling figures in the excerpts provided ^{[1] [2]}. The Green Papers and other logistics pages note timing and procedures but not who is ahead in the polls or by what margin ^[3]. Because the search results you supplied do not contain poll data, I cannot assert which candidates are leading or state margins from these materials — those data are not found in current reporting you provided ^{[1] [2] [3]}.

3. Related election context from the supplied material

Sources indicate several special elections around late 2025 and note that runoff rules and certification timelines matter to outcomes. Ballotpedia and 270toWin describe special-election procedures (e.g., top-two runoffs if no candidate wins a majority) and list other contests clustered in November–December, which can affect turnout and competitive dynamics ^{[1] [4]}. The California and San Francisco pages show that certifying and finalizing results can extend into December, underscoring that timing and administrative processes may shape how quickly any “leading” status becomes official ^{[5] [6] [7]}.

4. How to get the poll information you asked for (next steps and likely sources)

Because the sources you provided don’t include polling data, seek up-to-date polls from polling aggregators and local news outlets that regularly publish district-level surveys. RealClearPolling compiles polls and would be a logical aggregator to check for Tennessee-CD7 surveys and margins ^[8]. National outlets with local desks (AP, NBC, Fox) and Ballotpedia’s race pages often publish or link to district polls as they appear; none of those excerpts here, however, include such numbers ^{[1] [5] [9] [10]}. Contacting state and local newspapers in Tennessee or the campaigns themselves is another way to locate polls that may not be widely syndicated.

5. What to watch on Election Day and afterward

Administrative details in the supplied sources show polls’ closing time (7:00 p.m. CST) and that final certification can take days to weeks in related contests; this matters because early returns, leading candidates, and margins reported on election night may change as absentee and provisional ballots are counted ^{[3] [6] [7]}. Also note that runoffs are possible in special-election rules referenced by Ballotpedia and 270toWin, so a plurality lead on December 2 might not be decisive if the jurisdiction requires a majority and schedules a subsequent runoff ^{[1] [4]}.

6. Limitations and caveats

This analysis is limited strictly to the provided search results. The supplied materials confirm the December 2 date and election procedures but do not include any polling data or margin figures for the Tennessee 7th District special election; therefore any claim about who is leading or by how much would be unsupported by the sources you supplied ^{[1] [2] [3]}. If you can provide polling links or allow me to search beyond these documents, I can update this with specific poll authors, dates, sample sizes, and margins.