What public opinion polls have been released for Georgia's 14th District special election since Jan 2026?
Executive summary
No publicly released voter-intention or tracking polls for Georgia’s 14th Congressional District special election since January 2026 are identified in the reporting provided; available sources document the special election schedule, candidate field, and where data would normally appear but do not publish any poll results [1] [2] [3] [4]. Publicly accessible alternatives — betting markets and political handicappers — exist and are listed in the reporting, but they are not substitutes for formal public opinion polls [5] [6].
1. What the official calendar and mechanics tell reporters about polling windows
The special general election was set for March 10, 2026, with a potential runoff on April 7, 2026, after Governor Kemp called the contest and state election notices were posted; those dates define the conventional window for polling organizations to field public surveys [1] [2] [7]. Advance in-person absentee voting began February 16, 2026, and state and county election pages published administrative details for voters and candidates, confirming the timetable reporters use to judge when public polls would be most valuable to capture late-deciding voters [7] [8].
2. What the record of public reporting shows — no published polls in the provided sources
A review of the supplied reporting — including the Wikipedia overview of the special election, the FEC and Georgia Secretary of State notices, Ballotpedia summaries, and local reporting on the crowded candidate field — turns up detailed election logistics and candidate lists but no citations or embeds of public opinion polls conducted or released since January 2026 [1] [2] [3] [4]. Major aggregators or handicappers referenced in the reporting, such as Cook Political Report and Ballotpedia, are cited for context on competitiveness and district partisanship but the archived snippets do not include any poll numbers or links to survey releases [6] [3].
3. Alternative public signals mentioned in coverage — betting markets and handicappers, not polls
Where journalists and observers often look for signals in the absence of public polls, the reporting points to a PredictIt market for who will win and to Cook’s district profile for partisan baseline, but those are not public-opinion surveys and the supplied extract for PredictIt does not show polling data [5] [6]. Ballotpedia and local outlets document the unusually large candidate field — 21 or 22 qualifiers — which complicates public polling because an all-candidate ballot produces many low-name-recognition options and raises fielding costs for pollsters [4] [3].
4. What cannot be confirmed from the available reporting — private or campaign polls
The sources provided do not include or reference any internal campaign polls, commissioned surveys, or non-public polling data; therefore it cannot be confirmed whether campaigns or outside groups have conducted but not released polls since January 2026 [1] [4]. Reporting limitations mean that while internal surveys are common in tight or crowded contests, no such materials are present in the supplied documentation and their existence or content cannot be asserted from these sources [3].
5. How to interpret the absence of public polls and where to watch next
The absence of publicly posted polls in these records is consistent with several plausible causes noted in the reporting: the district’s strong Republican lean (Cook PVI), a crowded multi-candidate special election that raises the cost and complexity of credible polling, and the compressed timeline between call and election that narrows pollsters’ windows [6] [4]. For those tracking the race, the natural next stops — which are cited in the reporting but currently show no survey results — are Ballotpedia and Cook for any late-published public polls, the Georgia Secretary of State’s updates for official timelines, and prediction markets like PredictIt for trading-based signals [3] [7] [5].