Which candidates lead in recent polls for Georgia's 14th District special versus primary races?
Executive summary
No publicly released polls of Georgia’s 14th Congressional District special or 2026 primary races appear in the reporting provided; therefore there is no evidence in these sources to say any candidate is “leading” in polling at this time [1] [2] [3]. What can be documented from the available reporting is who has filed, the special-election mechanics that shape vote dynamics, and which names local outlets and national wires flag as prominent contenders [4] [3] [1].
1. The mechanics that matter: special election timing and an all‑party ballot
Governor Brian Kemp set the special election for March 10, 2026, with a potential runoff on April 7, 2026, and state law places all candidates on a single ballot with a runoff if no one clears 50 percent — factors that favor a candidate who can consolidate a plurality fast in a crowded field [1] [5]. The regular 2026 primary calendar is separate: party primaries for the November general election are scheduled for May 19, 2026, with a primary runoff June 16 if needed, meaning voters will face both the special‑seat choice in March and party nomination decisions in May [6].
2. Who the press calls noteworthy — frequent names in coverage
News outlets identify a cluster of Republican contenders who have drawn attention in early coverage: Colton Moore (recently a state senator who resigned to run), district attorney Clayton Fuller, businessman Brian Stover, and Reagan Box, who switched into the race, among others; AP’s roundup of the field singles out those names as part of the swelling candidate list [4]. Local reporting and candidate filings show an unusually large field — Rough Draft Atlanta reports 21 candidates qualified (17 Republicans, three Democrats, one Libertarian, and one Independent) which amplifies the likelihood of a runoff and dilutes any single candidate’s immediate vote share absent polling [3].
3. What the data sources confirm — party lean and campaign finance tracking
Cook Political’s district profile and Ballotpedia note the 14th is a deeply Republican district (about R+19 by PVI), which frames expectations for the general electorate and makes the Republican side the decisive battleground in most scenarios [6] [7]. The FEC and its reporting pages are tracking filings and finance reports for the special election, meaning measurable fundraising trends will emerge there and could presage frontrunners — but the FEC records cited do not provide public opinion polling results in the material supplied [5] [8].
4. The central reporting gap: no public polls cited in the available sources
None of the supplied sources — Wikipedia, Ballotpedia, AP, Rough Draft Atlanta, Cook, or FEC summaries — contain or cite recent public opinion polls showing which candidates lead in either the March special or the May primary; the coverage is descriptive (who filed, dates, rules) rather than predictive via polling [1] [2] [4] [3] [6] [5]. Because of that absence, any claim about who “leads in recent polls” cannot be validated from the provided reporting, and attributing leads would require outside polling data not present here.
5. Short primer on likely dynamics absent polling
Given a crowded, all‑party special with many Republicans in an R+19 district, the pragmatic expectation is that the special will favor a Republican who can quickly consolidate a plurality — often a candidate with prior name recognition or regional political office — and that the May primary will be a separate test once parties narrow their fields; but this is structural analysis based on district lean and election rules, not on poll numbers in the supplied sources [1] [6] [3]. The final answer, anchored to the documentation available, is that recent polls identifying leaders in the special versus primary races are not present in these sources.