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What were the results of Mexico's 2024 presidential election?
Executive summary
Claudia Sheinbaum of the ruling Morena coalition won Mexico’s June 2, 2024 presidential election by a decisive margin—reported between about 58% and 60% in rapid counts and described as a landslide victory of roughly 30–33 percentage points—making her the country’s first woman president and, by multiple outlets’ accounts, the highest vote-getter in Mexican history with roughly 35.9 million votes when final tallies were published [1] [2] [3] [4]. Preliminary and institutional tallies show Morena and its allies consolidated majorities in the legislature and won most gubernatorial contests, raising questions among analysts about the potential for enabling constitutional changes [2] [1].
1. A landslide win and historic firsts
Multiple contemporary reports characterize the outcome as a landslide: Mexico’s electoral rapid sample counted Sheinbaum between roughly 58.3% and 60.7% of the vote, with opposition contenders trailing in the mid-to-high 20s, and commentators noted this result made Sheinbaum the country’s first female president and, as some outlets emphasize, the first Jewish person to hold the office in Mexico and among the first Jewish heads of state in Latin America [1] [5] [4].
2. Vote totals, margins, and records cited
Institutional and statistics-oriented sources record the scale of Sheinbaum’s support: some reporting places her popular vote at about 35.9 million votes and describes her share as “over half” of counted votes—numbers that, per those sources, surpassed the 2018 record of Andrés Manuel López Obrador [3] [6] [4]. Congressional research and quick-count summaries similarly report MORENA’s candidate winning by “more than 30 percentage points” and receiving roughly 59% in preliminary tallies [2].
3. Morena’s legislative consolidation and institutional stakes
Beyond the presidency, preliminary returns and analyses show Morena and allied parties took a dominant position in congressional and gubernatorial races—reports noted the ruling coalition was on track to win a large share of seats and multiple governorships, with some assessments warning that a supermajority could enable constitutional reforms that centralize power [2] [1]. The Congressional Research Service framed these developments as raising concerns about the trajectory of checks and balances should constitutional-change thresholds be met [2].
4. Opposition performance and reactions
Opposition candidate Xóchitl Gálvez conceded after preliminary results put her vote share in the high 20s, according to Reuters; other reporting documents that the opposition’s coalition won fewer seats and lost ground compared with the governing alliance [1] [7]. Analysts and institutions quoted in coverage noted that the opposition’s reduced representation shifts the balance of power and affects prospects for blocking or negotiating reforms [2].
5. What drove the vote—continuity, security, and social programs
Reporting and expert commentary emphasize continuity with Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s agenda as a major factor: Sheinbaum campaigned as a close ally who would continue social programs that have broad support among poorer voters, while security, organized-crime violence, and public services (electricity/water) were cited as salient voter concerns shaping the contest [1] [7]. Observers also flagged that campaign violence and threats were unusually widespread in this cycle, affecting many local contests and underscoring broader governance challenges [8].
6. Caveats on timing, sources and final tallies
Contemporary accounts differentiate between rapid sample counts and the official tally process: The New York Times and institutional trackers noted that initial numbers on June 2 were preliminary and that official counts continued after election night; IFES and other repositories show results were later compiled and updated into 2025, suggesting finalization over weeks [5] [9]. Readers should note the distinction between early rapid counts (used to call the race) and final certified results archived by Mexico’s electoral authorities [5] [9].
7. Competing perspectives and political implications
Coverage converges on the factual outcome—Sheinbaum’s decisive victory and Morena’s strong legislative showing—but diverges on interpretation: some analysts warn a supermajority risks democratic backsliding via constitutional changes, while proponents argue consolidation enables policy continuity and stability for ambitious social or industrial agendas [2]. Institutional observers and data projects document both the scale of Morena’s wins and the extraordinary levels of election-related violence, indicating mixed implications for Mexico’s democratic and security trajectory [2] [8].
Available sources do not mention detailed post-inauguration policy outcomes or later legal challenges beyond the initial reporting and institutional summaries cited above (not found in current reporting).