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Fact check: Why do people think that the one big beautiful bill is going to kill people?

Checked on July 7, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The analyses reveal that people believe the "One Big Beautiful Bill" will kill people due to its massive cuts to healthcare programs and social safety nets. The bill includes approximately $1 trillion in cuts to federal healthcare programs, with at least $940 billion specifically targeting Medicaid [1].

The primary concerns center on several devastating impacts:

  • Healthcare access: The bill could leave 11.8 million more Americans uninsured by 2034 and result in at least 16,000 annual preventable deaths due to cuts to Medicaid and changes to the Affordable Care Act [2] [3]
  • Vulnerable populations: People with disabilities face particularly severe consequences from deep cuts in Medicaid and Medicare, potentially losing coverage and access to essential healthcare services [4]. The bill would also increase wait times for home- and community-based services and could force hospital closures, especially affecting rural hospitals [4] [5]
  • Women's health: The bill defunds Planned Parenthood clinics for one year, preventing women on Medicaid from accessing essential services including STI screening, Pap smears, breast cancer screenings, and prenatal care [2]
  • Immigrant communities: The legislation limits access to health benefits for green card holders and legal immigrants while allocating $45 billion to ICE for expanding detention capacity and deportations [6]

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question lacks important context about the political and economic motivations behind different positions on this bill. Republicans argue the bill will help the economy and national security, while Democrats contend it will harm working-class people [7].

The bill provides massive tax breaks for billionaires while cutting social safety nets, suggesting that wealthy individuals and corporations benefit financially from this legislation at the expense of vulnerable populations [8]. The bill is expected to increase the federal deficit by nearly $3.3 trillion over the next 10 years despite the cuts to social programs [2].

Political stakeholders also benefit from this controversy, as Democrats plan to target Republican lawmakers who supported the bill in the 2026 midterm elections, making this a central campaign issue [7].

The analyses also reveal that the bill implements work requirements for Medicaid and imposes new out-of-pocket costs on Medicaid enrollees, which could lead to reduced use of care and poorer health outcomes [5] [2].

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original question frames the concern as merely what "people think" rather than acknowledging the concrete policy provisions and expert analyses that support these concerns. This framing minimizes the legitimacy of the opposition by suggesting it's based on perception rather than substantive policy analysis.

The question also uses the euphemistic phrase "one big beautiful bill" without acknowledging its official name or the specific harmful provisions it contains. This language mirrors political messaging designed to obscure the bill's actual content and impacts.

The question fails to mention that these concerns are based on expert warnings about profound effects at the state level and increased pressure on rural hospitals [5], as well as disproportionate impacts on vulnerable populations such as the poor, disabled, and mentally ill [3]. By framing this as mere opinion rather than evidence-based analysis, the question potentially misleads readers about the substantive nature of the opposition to this legislation.

Want to dive deeper?
What are the main provisions of the one big beautiful bill?
How does the one big beautiful bill compare to the Affordable Care Act?
Which groups are most likely to be affected by the one big beautiful bill?
What are the potential consequences of repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act with the one big beautiful bill?
How have politicians like Donald Trump and Joe Biden discussed the one big beautiful bill?