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Fact check: Which red state city had the largest increase in violent crime rates from 2023 to 2024?

Checked on August 25, 2025

1. Summary of the results

Based on the available analyses, none of the sources provide a direct answer to the question of which red state city had the largest increase in violent crime rates from 2023 to 2024. The FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting Program released 2024 data showing a decrease in violent crime nationally, but does not break down increases by specific cities [1]. Similarly, national reporting indicates a decline in homicides and violent crime nationwide in 2024 for the third straight year [2].

The Council on Criminal Justice report provides crime trends in U.S. cities, including changes in violent offenses from 2023 to 2024, but does not specifically identify the red state city with the largest increase [3]. While some sources mention cities in red states with high crime rates, including Cleveland, Memphis, Nashville, and Jackson, Mississippi [4], these references focus on overall crime rates rather than year-over-year increases.

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question assumes that red state cities experienced increases in violent crime from 2023 to 2024, but the broader national trend shows violent crime actually decreased during this period [1] [2]. This creates important missing context that challenges the premise of the question.

The analyses reveal a significant data gap - while sources discuss overall crime rates and national trends, there appears to be limited publicly available data specifically tracking year-over-year violent crime increases in individual red state cities. The Council on Criminal Justice report contains relevant data on city-level crime trends but the analysis doesn't extract the specific answer to the question [3].

Political context is also missing - discussions of crime rates in red versus blue states often serve political narratives, with both parties potentially benefiting from selective data presentation depending on which cities or time periods are highlighted.

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The question contains an implicit assumption that red state cities experienced increases in violent crime from 2023 to 2024, when available evidence suggests violent crime decreased nationally during this period [1] [2]. This framing could be misleading by presupposing increases where decreases may have occurred.

The question also employs a red state/blue state framework that may oversimplify complex urban crime dynamics. Crime rates are influenced by numerous local factors beyond state-level political affiliation, and focusing solely on political categorization could obscure more relevant demographic, economic, or policy factors.

Additionally, the question seeks to identify "the largest increase," which could be used to create misleading headlines or talking points even if the actual increase was minimal or within normal statistical variation.

Want to dive deeper?
What are the top 5 red state cities with the highest violent crime rates in 2024?
How does the violent crime rate in red states compare to blue states from 2023 to 2024?
Which law enforcement strategies are being implemented in red state cities to reduce violent crime rates in 2025?