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Fact check: Https://www.newsweek.com/russia-warns-europe-ukraine-gas-decision-2009153

Checked on January 3, 2025

1. Summary of the results

Ukraine has officially halted Russian gas transit through its territory as of January 1, 2025, following the expiration of a pre-war transit agreement [1]. This decision was made by Ukraine's Energy Minister Herman Halushchenko, citing "national security" concerns [1]. The termination of this agreement will cost Russia approximately $6.5 billion annually in transit revenues [2].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

Several crucial contextual elements need to be considered:

  • Historical Significance: This pipeline has been operational since 1991, serving as a major transit route for Russian gas to Europe [3].
  • EU's Adaptation: The European Union has already dramatically reduced its dependence on Russian gas:
  • From 40% in 2021 to less than 10% in 2023 [3]
  • More specifically, from 40% to approximately 8% by 2023 [4]
  • The EU claims to have secured alternative supplies from sources like the US and Qatar [2]
  • Affected Countries: The pipeline primarily served Austria and Slovakia, who are now seeking alternative energy sources [4]

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

There are several competing narratives and interests at play:

  • Ukrainian Perspective: Ukraine justifies the decision based on:
  • National security concerns [1]
  • Reducing funding for Russia's war efforts
  • Inadequate transit fees [2]
  • Russian Perspective: Russia claims:
  • The decision was influenced by the United States
  • It will negatively impact European economies [2]
  • European Division: There are conflicting views within the EU:
  • Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico warns of "drastic impact" on the EU [5]
  • The European Commission maintains they are prepared for this change [5]

This situation demonstrates how energy policy has become deeply intertwined with geopolitical tensions, with each side presenting narratives that align with their strategic interests.

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