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Fact check: Politicians in the South gaslight residents by pointing to problems in blue states. Southern states actually have higher crime rates than places like California.

Checked on September 17, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The original statement claims that politicians in the South gaslight residents by pointing to problems in blue states, specifically mentioning that Southern states have higher crime rates than places like California. According to [1], Southern states indeed have higher crime rates than California, with data from the CDC showing Alabama, Arkansas, and Oklahoma have higher homicide rates than California [1]. This finding is supported by [2], which also cites data from the CDC and FBI to confirm that California has lower homicide rates than Alabama, Arkansas, and Oklahoma [2]. Additionally, [1] and [2] provide further evidence that Southern states have higher crime rates than California, with [2] noting that the red state murder rate was 33% higher than the blue state murder rate in both 2021 and 2022 [2]. [3] also analyzes homicide data from 2021 and 2022 for all 50 states, finding that murder rates were 33% higher in red states than in blue states in both years [3]. The concept of gaslighting in politics is also explored by [4], which discusses how politicians downplay crime rates, undermining trust in government and disrespecting victims of crime [4].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

While the analyses provide strong evidence for the claim that Southern states have higher crime rates than California, there are some missing context and alternative viewpoints that need to be considered. For example, [5] provides additional context on California's crime rates, with Governor Newsom announcing new initiatives to combat crime, and data showing a decrease in crime rates in certain areas of the state [5]. However, this source does not directly compare California's crime rates to those of Southern states. [6] highlights the challenges Democrats face in messaging on public safety, with Republicans often using a 'tough-on-crime' approach, which can lead to accusations of being 'soft on crime' if Democrats focus on reform and social issues [6]. This suggests that the issue of crime rates is complex and multifaceted, and that different political perspectives may influence how the issue is framed and addressed. Furthermore, [7] explores the concept of gaslighting in politics, emphasizing the importance of credible news organizations, public officials, and engaged citizens in combating this form of manipulation [7].

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original statement may be subject to potential misinformation or bias, as it presents a simplistic narrative that politicians in the South are gaslighting residents by pointing to problems in blue states. While the analyses provide evidence that Southern states have higher crime rates than California, they also suggest that the issue is more complex and nuanced than the original statement suggests. For example, [4] notes that downplaying crime rates can be seen as a form of gaslighting, but this behavior is not unique to politicians in the South [4]. Additionally, [6] highlights the challenges of messaging on public safety, which can lead to accusations of being 'soft on crime' if Democrats focus on reform and social issues [6]. This suggests that the issue of crime rates is influenced by political perspectives, and that the original statement may be biased towards a particular viewpoint. Overall, while the analyses provide strong evidence for the claim that Southern states have higher crime rates than California, they also highlight the need for a more nuanced and balanced understanding of the issue, taking into account different political perspectives and the complexities of the issue [1] [2] [3] [4] [6] [7].

Want to dive deeper?
What are the current crime rates in Southern states versus California?
How do politicians in the South use gaslighting tactics to sway public opinion?
Which Southern states have the highest crime rates in 2025?
Do blue states have stricter gun laws that contribute to lower crime rates?
How do socioeconomic factors impact crime rates in Southern states compared to California?