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What percent of Texas registered voters were Hispanic/Latino in 2024 and how has that share changed since 2010?
Executive summary
The available, recent sources do not provide a single authoritative figure for the share of Texas registered voters who were Hispanic/Latino in 2024, and Texas does not publicly track voter registration by ethnicity in a way that yields that exact percentage [1] [2]. The closest, consistent measure across multiple reputable analyses is that Hispanics comprised roughly one-third of Texas’s eligible voter population (~32%) in 2024, but that does not equal the share of registered voters because Hispanic registration and turnout historically lag eligible-voter shares [3] [4] [5].
1. Why the exact registered-voter share is missing—and why it matters
No recent source in the provided dataset reports a direct percentage of Texas registered voters who are Hispanic/Latino for 2024; Texas election reporting and some major news analyses emphasize turnout and eligible-voter counts rather than registration by ethnicity [1] [2]. This matters because eligible-voter share and registered-voter share are different metrics: eligible voters include citizens who could register, whereas registered voters are those who completed the process. Multiple analyses note that Hispanic eligible-voter growth is large—driven by demographic trends and naturalization—but registration rates among Hispanics tend to trail non-Hispanic groups, so the registered share will generally be lower than the eligible share [3] [5].
2. What the best available numbers say: eligible voters not registered voters
Pew’s January 2024 analysis reports Hispanics at about 32% of Texas’s eligible voters and estimates Texas had roughly 6.5 million Latino eligible voters—placing Texas among states with the largest Latino eligible electorates [3]. The Texas Tribune and other 2024 pieces echo that Hispanics make up nearly one-third of the state’s eligible electorate, a figure used to explain where parties are investing resources [4]. These are eligible-voter figures, not registration: converting eligible share into registered-voter share requires data on registration rates, and the sources show those rates have historically lag, meaning the registered share will likely be lower than 32% [5] [1].
3. How the Hispanic share has changed since 2010—growth in eligibility, not necessarily registration
Comparative data in the provided sources show a clear upward trajectory in Hispanic influence as eligible voters since 2010. Fact sheets based on 2014 ACS data put Hispanic eligible voters at about 27–28% in earlier years, and academic studies and media reporting document steady growth into the 2020s [6] [5]. That implies an increase of several percentage points in Hispanic eligible-voter share from 2010 to 2024, driven by demographic growth, naturalization, and younger cohorts reaching voting age. The available analyses, however, do not provide a comparable registered-voter series back to 2010, so the precise change in Hispanic share among registered voters cannot be calculated from these sources [7] [2].
4. Turnout and registration behavior that shape the political impact
Turnout dynamics amplify or attenuate the raw effect of demographic change. A 2024 analysis cited a rise in Hispanic turnout in Texas from about 40.5% in 2016 to just over 53% in 2020, reducing but not eliminating the gap with statewide turnout rates, and demonstrating that rising turnout can increase Hispanic influence even before registration parity is achieved [1]. Parties and advocacy groups have prioritized registration drives and GOTV targeting, but the sources stress that turnout and partisan shifts—such as Republican gains among some Latino demographics—also determine how demographic gains translate into electoral outcomes [4] [7].
5. Bottom line with caveats and where to look next
The definitive statement supported by the assembled sources is: Hispanics were roughly one-third of Texas’s eligible voters in 2024, but there is no direct, verifiable percentage in these sources for Hispanics as a share of registered voters in 2024; Texas reporting and major analyses focus on eligible-voter and turnout measures instead [3] [1] [2]. To convert eligible-voter shares into registered-voter shares, one needs either state-level registration by ethnicity (not available in these sources) or tabulations from post-election federal reports that break out registration by race/Hispanic origin—sources the provided dataset references but does not quote in full [8]. The growth since 2010 is clear for eligibility; the change in registered-voter share is likely upward but cannot be precisely quantified from the available materials [6] [5].