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Fact check: Did Donald Trump win in 2024

Checked on December 14, 2024

1. Summary of the results

Based on the provided analyses, here is my fact-check:

1. Summary of the results:

Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election, becoming the 47th president of the United States. However, there are discrepancies in the analyses regarding the exact numbers:

  • Electoral College: All analyses confirm Trump won with 312 electoral votes to Harris's 226
  • Popular Vote: Two analyses show different numbers, with one indicating Harris won the popular vote (49.9% vs 48.3%) and another showing Trump won it (49.8%)

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints:

  • This victory made Trump the first president since Grover Cleveland in 1892 to win non-consecutive terms
  • The election occurred after Joe Biden withdrew in July 2024, with Kamala Harris replacing him as the Democratic nominee
  • Trump's victory was notably narrow by historical standards
  • He showed improved performance among specific demographics: working-class voters, young men, those without college degrees, and Hispanic voters
  • The election reflected a broader global trend of incumbent parties losing support

3. Potential misinformation/bias:

The analyses present conflicting information about the popular vote results, which is a crucial detail:

  • First analysis states Harris won the popular vote with 77.1M votes (49.9%) to Trump's 74.7M (48.3%)
  • Third analysis claims Trump won with 76.9M votes to Harris's 74.4M votes

This discrepancy highlights the importance of waiting for final certified results and being cautious about early vote totals.

Note: The contradictions in the popular vote numbers suggest that at least one of the analyses may be using preliminary or incorrect data.

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