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Fact check: Post Title: TIL Trump Says Blue States Will ‘Totally Disappear Off The Map’ Next Year, Promises ‘Big, Big Surprise’ Original Reddit link: https://www.reddit.com/r/TIL_Uncensored/s/CCiKP1sbwS

Checked on February 24, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The statement accurately quotes Trump's speech at the Republican Governors Association, where he claimed blue states would "totally disappear off the map" [1] [1]. This statement was made in reference to the 2026 midterm elections, not as a literal prediction of states being eliminated [1]. Trump also promised a "big, big surprise" for Democrats, which appears to be part of his broader political messaging [2].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

Several important contextual elements were omitted from the original statement:

  • Trump has reportedly raised $608 million for campaign efforts [1] [1]
  • The Cook Political Report indicates Republicans currently have an advantage in Senate races [1]
  • Republicans maintain a narrow majority in the House [1]
  • Trump's statement is part of a larger narrative focusing on specific policy issues, including gender in sports, which he frames as "common sense" arguments against Democratic policies [2]
  • A CBS News poll is cited showing some positive voter perception for Trump, though specific numbers aren't provided [2]

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original title could be misleading in several ways:

  • It presents Trump's rhetorical hyperbole about states "disappearing" without clarifying that this is political metaphor rather than a literal claim [1] [1]
  • The statement benefits multiple groups:
  • Republican fundraising efforts, as it creates urgency and excitement among supporters (evidenced by the $608 million raised) [1]
  • Democratic mobilization, as such statements can be used to energize opposition voters
  • Media organizations, as provocative political statements drive engagement and coverage

The statement should be understood as campaign rhetoric designed to energize Republican voters and predict electoral gains, not as a literal prediction about states vanishing [2] [1].

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