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Fact check: Have the US and China actually finally made a deal?

Checked on June 13, 2025

1. Summary of the results

While there has been significant diplomatic progress, characterizing it as a "final deal" would be premature and potentially misleading. What has actually occurred is:

  • A tentative "handshake agreement" and trade framework was reached during talks in London [1]
  • The agreement includes specific tariff reductions: US tariffs dropping from 145% to 30%, and Chinese tariffs from 125% to 10% [2]
  • Both sides have agreed to ease various restrictions, including rare earth mineral exports from China and technology export limits from the US [3]

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

Several crucial details are often overlooked:

  • The agreement is characterized as a "thin truce" rather than a comprehensive deal [2]
  • It largely represents a return to previous arrangements rather than new progress, specifically reverting to a previous Geneva agreement [2]
  • China's commitment to rare earth export licenses is only for 6 months, suggesting a temporary rather than permanent solution [2]
  • The framework still requires final approval from both countries' leaders [3]

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

There are several potential sources of confusion:

  • President Trump's statement that "Our deal with China is done" [3] is not supported by the actual details of the agreement [2]
  • The characterization of this as a "final" deal benefits:
  • Political leaders seeking to claim diplomatic victories
  • Market speculators looking for positive economic signals
  • Industries affected by tariffs who want to project stability
  • The agreement appears to be more of a return to status quo from several months ago rather than a groundbreaking new deal [1]
Want to dive deeper?
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What are the main obstacles preventing a comprehensive US-China trade agreement?