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Fact check: Which cities have the highest murder rates in the US and their corresponding political leanings?

Checked on September 18, 2025

1. Summary of the results

The analyses provided suggest that there is no clear correlation between the political leaning of a city and its murder rate [1]. In fact, some sources report that 13 of the 20 U.S. cities with the highest murder rates are in Republican-run states [1], while others note that murder rates are 40% higher in states won by Donald Trump than those won by Joe Biden [2]. Additionally, research suggests that the political affiliation of mayors has little influence on crime rates and policing in US cities [3], and that crime is a complex issue that transcends party lines [1] [4]. Some sources also highlight the disconnect between political rhetoric and actual crime data [5], and argue that neither party is doing a better job at reducing crime [4].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

A key piece of missing context is the role of economic conditions and community programs in shaping crime rates [3], which could provide a more nuanced understanding of the issue. Another alternative viewpoint is that the FBI discourages using its data to compile rankings of cities and counties as a way of measuring law enforcement effectiveness [6], which could impact how we interpret crime statistics. Furthermore, some sources suggest that campaign promises from both sides of the partisan aisle about crime and policing have little bearing on what's happening on the ground in most cities and police departments across the country [4], highlighting the need to look beyond political rhetoric. It is also important to consider that crime is nonpartisan [4], and that both parties have a role to play in addressing the issue.

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original statement may be misleading in its implication that high murder rates are primarily a problem in Democratic-run cities [1], as the data suggests that Republican-run states also have high murder rates [1]. This framing may benefit Republican politicians who seek to blame Democratic cities for high crime rates [5], while ignoring the complexities of the issue and the need for bipartisan solutions [4]. Additionally, the statement may perpetuate a false narrative that one party is "softer" on crime than the other [3], when in fact research suggests that the political affiliation of mayors has little influence on crime rates [3]. Overall, the original statement may be biased towards a partisan interpretation of crime data [4], rather than acknowledging the complex and nonpartisan nature of the issue [4].

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