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Fact check: How many illegal latino immigrants in the us?

Checked on July 27, 2025

1. Summary of the results

Based on the analyses provided, the number of unauthorized Latino immigrants in the US varies significantly depending on the data source and methodology used:

Total Unauthorized Population Estimates:

  • 13.7 million unauthorized immigrants as of mid-2023, with 5.5 million from Mexico [1]
  • 11.7 million total undocumented population in July 2023 [2]
  • 11.0 million unauthorized immigrants in 2022, with 4.0 million from Mexico [3]
  • 11.2 million unauthorized immigrants in 2021 [4]

Latino-Specific Numbers:

  • Mexicans account for 45% of the 11.3 million unauthorized immigrants as of mid-2022, totaling approximately 5.1 million unauthorized immigrants from Mexico [5]
  • Central American unauthorized population increased by 1.7 million between 2019 and 2023 [1]
  • South American unauthorized population increased by 729,000, primarily from Venezuela, Colombia, Ecuador, and Brazil [1]

Recent Trends:

  • One analysis suggests the illegal immigrant population may have fallen by 1 million since the start of 2025, with statistically significant declines in post-1980 non-citizen Latin Americans [6]
  • The overall unauthorized population grew by 3 million between 2019 and 2023 [7]

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question lacks several important contextual elements:

Methodological Differences:

Different research organizations use varying methodologies, leading to substantially different estimates. The Migration Policy Institute, Center for Immigration Studies, and other organizations employ different data sources like the Current Population Survey (CPS) and American Community Survey (ACS), resulting in estimates ranging from 11 million to 13.7 million [1] [2] [3] [4].

Historical Context:

  • The unauthorized immigrant population from Mexico has actually dropped since 2007, while numbers from other regions have increased [3]
  • Many unauthorized immigrants have been in the US for decades and have established roots, potentially having grounds for contesting deportation [7]
  • The population has been relatively stable since 2008 despite fluctuations in arrivals and departures [4]

Geographic and Demographic Complexity:

The question oversimplifies by grouping all "Latino immigrants" together, when the data shows significant variation between Mexican, Central American, and South American populations, each with different migration patterns and legal statuses [1] [3].

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

Terminology Issues:

The use of "illegal" rather than "unauthorized" or "undocumented" reflects a particular framing that may carry political implications. Research organizations typically use more neutral terminology like "unauthorized immigrants" [1] [3] [4].

Oversimplification:

The question treats "Latino immigrants" as a monolithic group, ignoring the significant differences between various countries of origin, arrival periods, and legal circumstances. The data shows distinct patterns for Mexican, Central American, and South American populations [1] [3].

Missing Nuance:

The question doesn't acknowledge that immigration status can be complex, with many individuals having potential grounds for legal status or being in various stages of legal proceedings [7]. Additionally, some sources note concerns about deportation among Latino adults, indicating the psychological and social impacts of current immigration policies [8].

Data Reliability Concerns:

The significant variation in estimates (from 11 million to 13.7 million) suggests inherent challenges in measuring unauthorized populations, yet the question seeks a definitive number without acknowledging these methodological limitations [1] [2] [3].

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