Are there documented cases where Cayce's disaster predictions matched actual events in the 20th or 21st century?

Checked on February 1, 2026
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Executive summary

Edgar Cayce’s followers and affiliated organizations document several instances where his trance “readings” are said to have anticipated 20th‑ and 21st‑century disasters and upheavals—most commonly a 1929 warning of financial collapse, broad warnings of world war, and repeated forecasts of “earth changes” and pole shifts—that proponents argue match later events [1] [2] [3]. Independent, contemporaneous, scholarly corroboration is not present in the sources provided here, and several commentators tied to Cayce’s institutions explicitly frame many forecasts as conditional or symbolic rather than precise, which complicates claims of clear matches [4] [5].

1. Documented claims from Cayce archives: what supporters point to

Advocates published by the Association for Research and Enlightenment and related authors compile readings that they say foresaw major 20th‑century developments: warnings of a global war in the 1930s, a 1929 reading that allegedly predicted a “considerable break and bear market” months before the Wall Street crash, and a series of earth‑change forecasts centering on shifting coastlines, seas and polar changes that are presented as relevant to late 20th‑ and early 21st‑century events [1] [3] [2].

2. The most commonly cited “hits”: finance, war and earth changes

Prominent among the “hits” supporters cite is Cayce’s 1929 reading to a stockbroker that warned of impending financial disturbance, which proponents argue anticipated the October 1929 crash [1]. Cayce material collected and republished by Cayce foundations and enthusiasts frames other readings as anticipating broad war and geopolitical upheaval in the mid‑20th century as well as prophesied earth changes—coastal inundations, earthquakes, and a pole‑shift manifestation around 2000–2001—which some interpreters link to observed shifts in oceanic and magnetic patterns [1] [2] [3].

3. How proponents document “matches”: selection, interpretation and institutional curation

The principal documentary record for these claims is the corpus of Cayce readings archived and promoted by Cayce organizations and later compilers such as Mark Thurston; those collections provide the primary texts and interpretive frameworks that supporters use to connect readings to later events [5] [6]. Enthusiast sites and books often narrate a small number of readings as prescient while acknowledging that much of Cayce’s material is broad, symbolic or part of larger spiritual teaching—an interpretive posture that allows retrospective alignment of vague forecasts with diverse historical events [7] [8].

4. Limits of the evidence in the available reporting: vagueness, conditionality and lack of neutral verification

The sources supplied here are overwhelmingly sympathetic to Cayce and emphasize apparent confirmations without presenting independent archival verification or systematic failure rates; the Cayce community itself notes that many readings were prefaced with qualifiers such as “if all things stay the same,” which makes literal predictive claims conditional and less falsifiable [4] [5]. The materials also show instances where timelines or specifics remain symbolic or shifted—examples include long‑range prophecies about telepathy, a “Hall of Records,” and apocalyptic dates that remain debated among adherents [2] [1] [3].

5. Balanced conclusion: documented claims exist, but clear, uncontested matches are not established in these sources

There are documented cases, within Cayce archives and supportive publications, where readings were later interpreted as matching 20th‑ and 21st‑century events—especially a pre‑1929 financial warning, broad wartime predictions, and various earth‑change forecasts [1] [2] [3]. However, the reporting available here is primarily from Cayce advocates and compilers, many predictions are conditional or vague, and the provided materials do not offer independent, critical verification of a consistent pattern of precise prophetic hits; therefore, while documented claims of matches exist, the case for unequivocal, literal prophetic accuracy is not established by the sources provided [5] [4].

Want to dive deeper?
What are the original Cayce reading numbers and transcripts that mention a 1929 market warning, and where can researchers access them?
How have historians and skeptics evaluated Edgar Cayce’s prediction record and methodology since the 1930s?
Which specific Cayce ‘earth change’ readings reference pole shifts or a Hall of Records, and how have Cayce organizations updated their timelines?