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Fact check: Is it true that the percentage of gay people in Bulgaria is 17?
1. Summary of the results
The claim that 17% of people in Bulgaria are gay cannot be verified with the available data. The only concrete statistic specific to Bulgaria comes from a 2008 school survey which found that 1.8% of students identified as gay [1] [1]. Globally, approximately 8% of people identify as homosexual, bisexual, or pansexual [2], but this figure cannot be directly applied to Bulgaria.
2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints
Several important contextual factors need to be considered:
- Data collection challenges: Accurate statistics are difficult to obtain in Bulgaria due to social stigma and fear of persecution [1] [1]
- Generational differences: Younger generations are generally more open about their sexuality [2]
- Survey limitations: The only available Bulgarian statistic (1.8%) comes from a school survey, which is not representative of the entire population [1]
- Changing social attitudes: The sources indicate evolving attitudes towards LGBTI people in Bulgaria, as evidenced by a 2012 survey [1]
3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement
The stated figure of 17% appears to be unsupported by available data. Several factors could contribute to misrepresentation:
- Statistical manipulation: The significant gap between the only available local statistic (1.8%) and the claimed 17% suggests potential manipulation or misinterpretation of data
- Political agenda: Various groups might benefit from either inflating or deflating these numbers:
- Conservative groups might benefit from lower numbers to minimize LGBTI visibility
- LGBTI advocacy groups might benefit from higher numbers to demonstrate greater representation
- Methodology concerns: The difficulty in obtaining accurate data due to social stigma [1] means that any single percentage should be treated with caution