Fact check: Are there regional breakdowns (states: Plateau, Benue, Kaduna, Zamfara, Borno) showing Christian fatalities by month in 2024 and 2025?

1. What the major claims say and why they matter

All three clusters of materials assert large-scale, targeted violence against Christian communities, with a single watchdog figure — 7,087 Christian killings in the first 220 days of 2025 — highlighted as a central statistic and Benue repeatedly named as the state with the largest toll. These claims frame the violence as perpetrated by jihadist groups, Fulani militants, and insurgents, and they position the events as systematic violations of religious freedom that implicate state failures to prevent or respond. The magnitude and character of these claims drive policy and humanitarian attention because they imply concentrated, ongoing risk to specific communities in discrete geographic areas, which is exactly why a monthly, state-level breakdown would be operationally valuable for protection, aid, and accountability efforts ^{[1] [2] [3] [4]}.

2. Where the supplied reports converge: scale, actors, and state inaction

The sources converge on three points: high fatality counts, the involvement of Islamist insurgents and armed pastoralist groups, and official tolerance or weak responses by Nigerian authorities. USCIRF summaries and country updates characterize the abuses as systematic and linked to enforcement gaps in law and security; Intersociety’s reporting furnishes the numerical shock value and names the worst-affected states, notably Benue, Plateau, and Southern Kaduna. This convergence strengthens the inference that violence is both widespread and concentrated in particular states, yet the convergence stops short of providing disaggregated monthly datasets — the reporting is qualitative or aggregated over multi-month windows rather than presenting month-by-month, state-by-state tallies ^{[5] [4] [1]}.

3. The glaring absence: no month-by-month, state-specific fatality tables

Multiple independent summaries explicitly note the lack of a regional monthly breakdown. Intersociety’s widely cited totals and state tallies are reported as aggregate figures for a multi-month period, and follow-up articles reiterate the absence of a monthly per-state matrix for Plateau, Benue, Kaduna, Zamfara, and Borno. Other analyses in the package similarly discuss patterns and drivers without providing the requested disaggregation. The practical consequence is that researchers, responders, and policymakers cannot trace temporal spikes or correlate incidents with security operations or seasonal migration from the documents reviewed; the requested granularity is not present in any of the supplied materials ^{[2] [6] [3]}.

4. Comparing numbers and claims across the sources: consistency and limits

When compared, the sources present consistent directional claims but vary in specificity and attribution. Intersociety provides the most granular aggregate count for 2025’s first 220 days and names state-level prominence (Benue > Plateau > Southern Kaduna), while USCIRF and other observatories emphasize systemic religious-freedom breaches and contextual drivers without numerical monthly breakdowns. The pattern across documents shows agreement on hotspots and responsible actors but disagreement only in the absence of precise monthly metrics — not in whether violence occurred or which states were most impacted. This consistency on hotspots supports situational prioritization but leaves temporal sequencing and month-to-month accountability unaddressed ^{[1] [5] [7]}.

5. Contextual explanations and omitted dimensions that affect interpretation

The materials highlight additional explanatory layers that complicate a simple religion-only narrative: ethnic conflict, pastoralist–farmer competition, governance vacuums, and legal frameworks such as blasphemy and Shari’a enforcement that shape vulnerability. Several reports caution that labeling all violence as strictly “religious” can obscure these drivers and misdirect policy. The absence of monthly, state-level breakdowns also conceals seasonal patterns, displacement flows, and episodic escalations tied to elections or military operations. Recognizing these omitted dimensions is essential before drawing causal conclusions or designing interventions based on aggregate death totals alone ^{[7] [4]}.

6. Bottom line and practical next steps toward the requested breakdown

The available documents substantiate a high level of violence against Christians in the named states but do not supply the month-by-month, state-level fatality breakdown for 2024 and 2025 the user requested. To obtain that exact granularity, investigators should seek primary datasets from field-monitoring NGOs, coroners or local health authorities, incident-level compilations (with date and location), or direct Intersociety methodological appendices if available. Meanwhile, the present evidence supports prioritizing Benue, Plateau, and Southern Kaduna for protection and inquiry, while recognizing that data gaps prevent precise temporal analysis and therefore limit efforts at temporal accountability or correlation with specific events ^{[1] [2] [8]}.