Are 81% of Somalis on welfare

Checked on January 16, 2026
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Executive summary

The short answer: the headline figure “81% of Somalis on welfare” originates from a December report about Somali households in Minnesota and refers to households receiving any form of public benefits, not a national individual rate; that specific 81% number is reported by the Center for Immigration Studies and repeated across several outlets [1] [2] [3]. Independent government survey data and local demographers show much lower rates for some measures of assistance — for example, an American Community Survey estimate cited by Minnesota’s state demographer finds about 8% of people with Somali ancestry reported receiving certain kinds of public assistance income from 2019–2023 [4].

1. What the 81% claim actually says and where it comes from

The 81% statistic appears in a CIS report framed around Somali immigrant households in Minnesota and is explicitly described as the share of Somali households that “consume some form of welfare” — a formulation that aggregates multiple benefit programs and focuses on households rather than individuals or specific programs [1]. That same wording — “81 percent of Somali households consume some form of welfare” — is repeated in multiple summaries and local press pieces citing the CIS study [3] [2].

2. Why definitions and scope matter

“Welfare” is not a single measure in U.S. data and can mean cash assistance, SNAP/food stamps, Medicaid, housing aid, or any combination; the CIS report’s total combines those program uses, and it is limited in geographic focus to Minnesota’s Somali population rather than the entire U.S. Somali diaspora [1]. Several outlets quoting the 81% figure likewise emphasize Minnesota context, and some specify program-level shares — for example, the CIS text cited higher Medicaid and SNAP participation within the Somali household sample — but the aggregation choice drives the headline [1] [2].

3. Contrasting estimates from government surveys and demographers

Independent data paint a different picture when narrower measures or different units are used: Minnesota’s state demographer told FactCheck.org that, for 2019–2023, an estimated 8% of people with Somali ancestry reported receiving certain forms of “public assistance income” in the American Community Survey — a much lower prevalence than the 81% household figure in the CIS report [4]. FactCheck noted that “welfare” has no universal definition and that the CIS metric and ACS measures are not directly comparable [4].

4. Households, children, time in country and other caveats

The CIS reporting notes program-by-program differences and that nearly every Somali household with children in the study reportedly received some form of assistance, and that long-resident Somali households showed only modest declines in benefit use after a decade — claims that depend on how households are classified and which cohorts were sampled [3] [1]. Other community-oriented sources argue that “most Somalis are not on welfare,” pointing to local trends and falling dependency in some places, which highlights that regional dynamics and time periods matter [5].

5. Source perspectives and political framing

The Center for Immigration Studies is an immigration-policy organization whose work is frequently cited in debates over immigration and welfare; several conservative and local media outlets amplified the 81% figure and linked it to broader stories about fraud and political consequences [1] [2] [6]. Fact-checking and community-refugee service sources warn against equating different measures and note the potential for such statistics to be weaponized in political rhetoric [4] [5].

6. Bottom line — direct answer

No single, universally comparable statistic supports the blanket statement that “81% of Somalis are on welfare” nationwide; the 81% figure is a specific household-level finding from a CIS report about Somali households in Minnesota [1], whereas government survey measures cited by Minnesota’s demographer show far lower shares for some forms of assistance (about 8% for certain public‑assistance income in the ACS) and are not directly comparable to the CIS aggregation [4]. The truth depends on the metric (households vs individuals), the programs aggregated (Medicaid, SNAP, cash aid, etc.), the geographic focus (Minnesota vs U.S.), and the data sources used; reporting that omits those distinctions risks misleading readers [1] [4] [5].

Want to dive deeper?
How does the American Community Survey measure public assistance and how comparable is it to advocacy research?
What are program-level participation rates (SNAP, Medicaid, TANF) for Somali households in Minnesota versus native households?
How have different organizations’ definitions of 'welfare' changed outcomes in immigration policy debates?