Fact check: Can transgender identity be a factor in mass school shootings?

1. Summary of the results

The analyses provided suggest that there is no evidence to support the claim that transgender identity is a factor in mass school shootings ^{[1] [2]}. In fact, transgender individuals are more likely to be victims of violence than perpetrators ^{[1] [2]}. The data shows that mass casualty shootings perpetrated by someone identifying as trans or nonbinary are rare ^[2]. Additionally, transgender individuals are at a greater risk of mental health problems, including mood and anxiety disorders, and are more likely to attempt suicide ^[3]. However, gender-affirming care has been linked to improved mental health outcomes for transgender individuals ^[3]. The prevalence of poor mental health status and frequent mental distress among transgender and gender-diverse adults has increased significantly between 2014 and 2022 ^[4]. Conversion practices have also been linked to greater symptoms of depression, post-traumatic stress disorder, and suicidality ^[5]. Other analyses highlight the impact of mass shootings on students' mental health and educational outcomes ^[6], and the need for a tiered approach to minimize harm and support those affected ^[7].

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

A key missing context in the original statement is the lack of data supporting a link between transgender identity and mass school shootings ^{[1] [2]}. Alternative viewpoints suggest that the focus should be on addressing the root causes of gun violence and promoting school safety, rather than stigmatizing a particular group ^[8]. Additionally, the importance of gender-affirming care and the need to protect the mental health and well-being of LGBTQIA+ individuals should not be overlooked ^{[3] [5]}. Other analyses highlight the need to consider the broader societal and psychological factors that contribute to mass violence, such as online networks and communities ^[9], and the impact of trauma on individuals and communities ^[7].

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original statement may be misleading and perpetuate harmful stereotypes about transgender individuals ^{[1] [2]}. By suggesting a link between transgender identity and mass school shootings, the statement may contribute to the stigmatization and marginalization of transgender individuals ^[8]. This framing may benefit those who seek to advance a particular ideological or political agenda, but it does not align with the available data and evidence ^{[1] [2]}. In contrast, a more nuanced and evidence-based approach would prioritize addressing the root causes of gun violence and promoting school safety, while also protecting the mental health and well-being of LGBTQIA+ individuals ^{[8] [3] [5]}.