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Fact check: What percentage of the UK population identifies as Muslim?

Checked on August 15, 2025

1. Summary of the results

Based on the analyses provided, Muslims comprise 6.5% of the UK population according to the most recent 2021 Census data [1] [2]. The Muslim population in England and Wales specifically totals 3.87 million people [1].

The Muslim population has experienced dramatic growth of 150% between 2001 and 2021, increasing from 1.6 million to 4 million people [3]. This represents one of the most significant demographic shifts in recent UK history.

2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints

The original question lacks several crucial contextual elements that provide a fuller picture of Muslim demographics in the UK:

  • Age distribution patterns: The Muslim population is significantly younger, with 11.2% of the 0-18 age group being Muslim [3], which is nearly double their overall population percentage.
  • Institutional presence: There are over 1,800 mosques operating in the UK alongside more than 80 Sharia courts functioning within the British legal framework [4].
  • Economic impact: UK mosques collectively hold £1.5 billion in assets, though they represent only 4% of all places of worship despite Muslims being 6.5% of the population [2].
  • Prison demographics: Muslims account for 15% of the prison population while being only 6% of the general population [3], indicating significant overrepresentation in the criminal justice system.
  • Future projections: Demographic analysts predict the Muslim population could reach at least 10% and potentially 20-30% by 2100 based on current growth trends and age distribution [3].

3. Potential misinformation/bias in the original statement

The original question itself appears neutral and factual, simply requesting demographic information. However, the context surrounding this data reveals potential areas where selective presentation could create bias:

  • Organizations like the Muslim Council of Britain benefit from emphasizing growth statistics and institutional presence to demonstrate increasing political and social influence [3] [1].
  • Media outlets focusing on "rapid Islamization" benefit from highlighting dramatic growth percentages and institutional expansion to generate engagement and support particular political narratives [4].
  • The framing of demographic data can serve different agendas - emphasizing current percentages (6.5%) versus growth rates (150% increase) versus future projections (potentially 20-30%) creates vastly different impressions of the same underlying reality.
Want to dive deeper?
What is the current estimated number of Muslims in the UK as of 2025?
How does the UK Muslim population compare to other European countries?
What are the most populous Muslim communities in the UK by region?
How has the UK Muslim population grown since the 2011 census?
What percentage of UK Muslims identify as Sunni or Shia?