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Fact check: Bsky Will replace twitter
1. Summary of the results
1. Summary of the results:
Bluesky has shown significant growth, reaching approximately 20 million users by late 2024, but remains far behind Twitter/X's 350 million active users. While the platform has experienced rapid expansion, particularly after the US election, and attracts a younger demographic (18-34), it has not yet achieved the scale or cultural impact to replace Twitter.
2. Missing context/alternative viewpoints:
- The original statement omits that multiple platforms are competing for Twitter's user base, including Instagram Threads with 275 million users
- Jack Dorsey, Twitter's former CEO, created Bluesky, which provides important context about the platform's origins and potential
- The statement doesn't mention Bluesky's unique features like the AT Protocol for account portability and decentralized structure
- Financial context is missing: Bluesky currently has no meaningful revenue model, while Twitter/X remains a major advertising platform
- The decline in Twitter/X's user base (16% drop in mobile users in September 2023) and increased hate speech under Elon Musk's leadership provides important context for Bluesky's growth
3. Potential misinformation/bias:
- The statement presents a false binary choice between Twitter and Bluesky, ignoring other significant platforms
- It overlooks that different platforms can coexist rather than one necessarily replacing another
- The statement benefits specific groups:
Bluesky investors and developers who gain from perceived inevitability of success
Critics of Elon Musk's Twitter leadership who want to see alternative platforms succeed
- Jack Dorsey and other former Twitter executives who have stakes in Bluesky's success