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Independent forecasters expect inflation to trend down toward the Fed’s 2 percent goal by 2026–27 while unemployment drifts modestly higher through 2026, but the magnitude of both moves differs across...
Kamala Harris’s economic agenda—branded an “opportunity economy”—focuses on lowering costs for housing, groceries, health care and families through expanded tax credits, housing supply measures and pr...
The analyses present divergent probability estimates and leading signals for a U.S. downturn, with one firm placing recession odds as high as based on hard data signals while others offer more moderat...
The analyses claim that the Trump administration’s 2025 policy package — especially large reciprocal tariffs and trade measures — materially weakened near‑term U.S. growth prospects while raising fede...
The assembled reporting identifies a cluster of — weakening labor-market dynamics, faltering housing activity, stress in consumer credit (especially auto finance), rising foreclosures, and market indi...