Index/Organizations/Polymarket

Polymarket

Online prediction solicitation and aggregation engine

Fact-Checks

21 results
Jan 13, 2026
Most Viewed

Will donald trump be impeached in 2026 and will he go to prison

The available reporting shows active impeachment resolutions have been filed in the 119th Congress and that impeachment is a live political threat if Democrats regain the House in 2026, but there is n...

Dec 20, 2025
Most Viewed

obama going to jail

There is no credible evidence that Barack Obama is going to jail or has been arrested; fact-checking and reporting show false arrests and manipulated videos circulated in 2025, while some opinion piec...

Nov 17, 2025
Most Viewed

Did any House or Senate leaders publicly call for Trump to resign and when?

Available reporting in the provided sources does not show any current House or Senate leaders openly calling for President Trump to resign in 2025; instead, the material documents calls for action in ...

Jan 13, 2026

will trump stay in office in 2028?

Donald Trump cannot legally be elected to a third term under the Twenty‑second Amendment, but reporting shows he has floated the idea and remains politically influential—markets and commentators assig...

Jan 26, 2026

Who will run for president in 2028

No definitive roster of major-party nominees for exists as of early 2026; dozens of individuals have filed with the FEC but major figures have largely not declared, leaving the field a mix of formal r...

Dec 12, 2025

What specific events or statements fueled the Trump alien conspiracy?

A recent surge in public belief that President Trump will “reveal” aliens rests mainly on a whistleblower’s claim that Trump was briefed about alien hybrids and on sudden, large bets on prediction mar...

Dec 2, 2025

Are there any active arrest warrants or indictments against Barack Obama as of November 29, 2025?

Available reporting and open-source trackers show no credible, confirmed arrest or executed federal indictment charging Barack Obama through November 29, 2025; prediction markets note windows for pote...

Dec 10, 2025

Has Nick Fuentes faced speculation or rumors about his sexuality in podcasts or livestreams?

Speculation and rumors about Nick Fuentes’s sexuality have circulated repeatedly in podcasts, livestreams and social media, often linked to on-air incidents (gay porn played on a stream) and public ta...

Dec 8, 2025

Have investigators or journalists published findings on Epstein's visa arrangements for associates?

Investigative reporting and court actions have focused heavily on documents tied to Jeffrey Epstein — including flight logs, travel records and grand jury materials — and Congress has forced a DOJ rel...

Jan 13, 2026

resignation trump

Public discussion of “resignation, Trump” collapses two different realities into one phrase: mass departures from his administrations (actual resignations and dismissals of officials) and recurring pu...

Dec 5, 2025

Is the us heading into a resesstion

Economists and market forecasters disagree: big banks and research groups currently place the odds of a U.S. recession in 2025 well below certainty — J.P. Morgan lowered its 2025 recession probability...

Oct 22, 2025

What are the main disagreements between Democrats and Republicans leading to the shutdown?

The shutdown stems primarily from an impasse over healthcare funding: Democrats insist on extending Affordable Care Act premium tax credits and opposing Medicaid cuts, while Republicans demand the gov...

Jan 28, 2026

Is Trump possible of impeachment

is both legally possible and politically fraught: multiple articles and resolutions to impeach him are already on the congressional record, showing a clear pathway to a House , but removal requires a ...

Jan 15, 2026

Will donald trump resign

No credible evidence in the provided reporting suggests that President Donald Trump is imminently preparing to resign, and market-based wagers and official White House activity both reflect that resig...

Feb 4, 2026

How do party control odds shift after each 2025-26 special House election outcome?

A single election can alter the arithmetic of a narrowly divided chamber, changing legislative leverage, committee control prospects, and both professional and market forecasts; ’s January win in is a...

Feb 2, 2026

what is considered the best bet for the 2026 super bowl

The consensus market "best bet" for is backing the as favorites — opened Seattle as a 3.5–5 point favorite and the consensus line settled around Seahawks -4 to -4.5 with prices in the favorite range (...

Feb 2, 2026

is there an impeachment in process for trump

Multiple articles of and resolutions against have been filed and discussed in and by activist groups, but as of the reporting in these sources there is not a single, full-scale impeachment process tha...

Jan 4, 2026

What is the probability of jd Vance becoming president

Betting markets and sportsbooks currently place J.D. Vance’s implied chance of winning the 2028 presidency broadly in the high‑20s to low‑30s percent—commonly cited figures cluster around 28–33 percen...

Jan 3, 2026

Was trump asked to resign recently

There is no verified recent incident in which a major institution or official formally "asked" President Trump to resign as a concrete, new development; what exists in the reporting are calls from som...

Jan 2, 2026

Did Trump step down from presidency

No — there is no reporting in the provided sources that President Donald Trump formally resigned or “stepped down” from the presidency; what the public saw in 2025 were market spikes, social-media rum...