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American political forecaster
’s 2028 prospects hinge heavily on the : demonstrable Democratic gains — especially flipping or narrowing while delivering wins in key battlegrounds — would validate his national leadership and fund‑r...
enter needing a tiny net gain—roughly three seats by some models—to reclaim the House, and the most vulnerable Republican-held districts are those , narrowly decided suburban and exurban seats such as...
enters with a massive early fundraising advantage that dominates ’s landscape, while ’s open-seat dynamics have produced a dispersed, competitive fundraising environment with multiple high-profile Dem...
Primaries and retirements change midterm forecasts by reshaping the pool of competitive seats—open seats created by retirements are usually more volatile and invite stronger partisan targeting, while ...
Major forecasters currently list a small set of true toss-ups in the 2026 Senate map: Georgia and Michigan are repeatedly named as Toss‑ups by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections and Roll Call, wi...
The 2026 Senate map is widely described as competitive but tilted toward Republicans because they defend more seats; Democrats need a net gain of four to win the majority, and forecasters identify a s...