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Index/Organizations/Race to the White House

Race to the White House

Fact-Checks

2 results
Jan 13, 2026
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will trump stay in office in 2028?

Donald Trump cannot legally be elected to a third term under the Twenty‑second Amendment, but reporting shows he has floated the idea and remains politically influential—markets and commentators assig...

Feb 7, 2026

What have prediction markets and polling implied about the most likely 2028 successors to a term‑limited incumbent?

Prediction markets—aggregators such as , and others—currently price Republican and Democrat as the two single most likely successors in , with markets assigning roughly mid‑teens to high‑twenties perc...