Your fact-checks will appear here
Family name
Thirty‑five Senate seats are widely reported as up in 2026 when counting two special elections (Florida and Ohio); most trackers count 33 Class II regular seats plus those specials, with 22–23 held by...
The key claim—predicting the exact composition of the U.S. House and Senate after the 2026 elections—is not supported by definitive forecasts in the provided materials; current tools and ratings show ...
Current reporting and polling-focused trackers identify a short list of Senate races likely to be competitive in 2026: vulnerable Democratic incumbents include Jon Ossoff (Georgia) and seats in Michig...
As of the sources provided, 35 Senate seats will be contested on Nov. 3, 2026 (33 regular + 2 special), and Republicans begin the cycle defending roughly 20–23 of those seats depending on the tracker ...
Cook, Sabato, Reuters and party operatives all point to a wide, shifting battleground rather than a single short list: dozens of districts are "toss‑up" or "in play," with the DCCC naming 35 Republica...
The regular 2026 Senate cycle will primarily be the Class 2 contests: 33 Class 2 seats are up for regular election, a map that currently includes 20 Republican-held seats and 13 Democratic-held seats ...
Six battleground states that carried in 2020—, , , , , and —flipped to in , and those flips were decisive in delivering Trump a clear victory by moving previously “blue wall” electoral votes back into...
Election analysts disagree on the exact roster, but most mainstream trackers identify roughly a dozen-to-twenties of 2026 U.S. House districts as true “toss-ups” — with Cook Political Report putting t...
State-level polling averages and the direction of those polls — not single surveys — are the single most actionable predictor of a Senate flip in , while forecasts underscore that candidate quality, f...
The nearest competitive 2026 U.S. Senate contests that analysts and major trackers flag include Texas, North Carolina and Michigan; high-profile Democratic contenders already running or announced in t...
Early polling and expert ratings a year out from the 2026 Senate contests show a with several genuine toss‑ups and a clear structural disadvantage for Democrats, who must net four seats to control the...
A single election can alter the arithmetic of a narrowly divided chamber, changing legislative leverage, committee control prospects, and both professional and market forecasts; ’s January win in is a...
A razor-thin House majority means will come down to a small cluster of highly competitive districts rather than a nationwide wave, with analysts naming roughly 30–40 seats as the true battlegrounds an...
A House seat is labeled a “toss‑up” when the usual predictors—partisan baseline, incumbency, candidate quality, fundraising and ground game, and the national political environment—leave the outcome ge...
National partisan trends — measured by generic ballot and district baselines — and the president’s approval rating are together compressing the 2026 House battleground into a narrow, highly contingent...
Polls and forecasting models cited in the supplied material do not provide a definitive prediction of the ; they offer snapshots, methodological tools, and contextual factors that make a single projec...