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The unusual wave of politically motivated mid-decade redistricting efforts in several states in 2025
The is a patchwork: primaries begin as early as March and run through June with a second wave in August in some states, while stages its statewide primary on June 2 and ’s primary and potential runoff...
The 2026 U.S. midterm elections can materially change who controls Congress, shift the legislative and oversight agenda for the remaining two years of President Trump’s term, and reshape state-level p...
The majority will likely be decided in a handful of competitive states rather than a broad national wave: , , , , and emerge repeatedly in trackers and strategy memos as the races most likely to tip c...
The Cook Partisan Voting Index () is a widely used metric that measures how strongly a congressional district or state leans Democratic or Republican relative to the national presidential vote; a labe...
The will put control of impeachment power squarely on a small slate of competitive House districts and a handful of Senate races: need a net gain of roughly three House seats to win the chamber and th...
The decennial Census determines how the 435 seats in the are apportioned among the states, and because each state’s total equals its number of Representatives plus two Senators (with 3 additional elec...
would confront the basic two-year rhythm of House membership set by the Constitution and immediately freeze the current configuration of the chamber until some alternative is put in place, a prospect ...
and two Senate special elections are scheduled in 2026 to fill seats vacated during the 119th Congress: three House seats tied to recent resignations or deaths (’s 18th, ’s 11th, ’s 14th) plus at leas...
enter needing a tiny net gain—roughly three seats by some models—to reclaim the House, and the most vulnerable Republican-held districts are those , narrowly decided suburban and exurban seats such as...
Across history both parties have drawn maps to their advantage, but in the modern era—especially after the redistricting cycle— secured the most consistent statewide and congressional seat advantages ...
that produced the tightest margins and therefore the highest near‑term flip potential are concentrated where recent results showed major swings from 2024 baselines, where vacancies produced competitiv...
The () rates every state and congressional district by how much more Democratic or Republican it voted in the last two -in-the-united-states">presidential elections compared with the national average;...
A postponed or cancelled U.S. midterm would be constitutionally fraught and politically seismic: the Constitution delegates election administration to the states but leaves a "residual and superseding...